@starmerout

#75,25461

0x8f89b661b63db99d49f0b8e26189d3f11a4af715

~10d· 26 markets · 124 tradesVol: $18,4782026-08-04 21:11:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (4/25)0/20
2.03x (win $1,563 / loss $770)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.96215/15
Sortino 11.35110/10
$+0.4273 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1626 (25 markets)4.4/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($656 / $1,449)4.9/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+1,141
Lottery Player
75% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#18,474$957Vol: $14,829
⚽ SPORTS#91,333$184Vol: $3,449

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,142
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,478
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
75B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$-4
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-11
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,142
Vol: $18,478

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
4W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$1,141
Win Rate
16%
4W / 21L
Profit Factor
2.03x
Avg Win
$391
Avg Loss
$-51

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,449 (1.269179546490029% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,020
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$265
Morgan McSweeney out as Starmer Chief of Staff by February 28?$164
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by February 28, 2026?$114

Top Losers

Starmer out by February 28, 2026?$-285
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-200
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?$-140
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-39
Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-20
Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-20
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-20
Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$-19
Will Jude Bellingham win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.194
Sortino
0.578
HHI
1384
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.420
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.7%
Top-5 markets
75.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 163s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.12
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)74.7%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)5.3%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 1:23:46 PM18 trades$2,3030 min
2/4/2026, 1:52:14 PM2 trades$5000 min
7/19/2026, 10:45:37 PM6 trades$4433 min
6/23/2026, 6:27:29 AM6 trades$3791 min
7/19/2026, 10:35:36 PM9 trades$3024 min
2/4/2026, 3:48:27 PM2 trades$2710 min
2/9/2026, 2:28:45 PM3 trades$1493 min
2/5/2026, 9:55:29 AM1 trades$1320 min
2/8/2026, 10:02:07 PM3 trades$1294 min
7/19/2026, 7:58:51 PM9 trades$980 min
7/20/2026, 3:29:39 PM7 trades$981 min
2/6/2026, 11:34:41 PM2 trades$921 min
2/8/2026, 4:54:49 PM3 trades$901 min
2/9/2026, 2:16:57 PM4 trades$704 min
2/6/2026, 2:18:59 PM1 trades$390 min
7/18/2026, 8:45:22 PM6 trades$360 min
2/9/2026, 2:56:37 PM2 trades$254 min
7/18/2026, 8:50:37 PM4 trades$154 min
7/19/2026, 9:08:13 PM2 trades$70 min
2/9/2026, 12:20:59 AM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-04
02-06
02-08
02-09
04-25
06-23
07-19
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 164 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L74.7 / M20 / H5.3