@populous
#1,581,274410x8fb7710c7d863316b46037fe771c193253691c59
~49d· 53 markets · 64 tradesVol: $5,2482026-08-04 18:17:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
41
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
94% (50/53)20/20
0.91x (win $29 / loss $32)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2340/15
Sortino -0.2670/10
$-0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 311 (53 markets)10/10
44/47 profitable days (94%)10/10
Max DD 182% of peak ($30 / $16)0/10
Badges
3Sniper
Win rate 94%
Consistent
44/47 profitable days
Win Streak
24 wins in a row
Categories
5🎭 CULTURE#743,734$-30Vol: $3,071
🏛️ POLITICS#128,535$22Vol: $1,195
₿ CRYPTO#332,540$3Vol: $485
💰 FINANCE#153,457$1Vol: $429
🌤️ WEATHER#95,121$0Vol: $69
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-4
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,248
Total Redeem
$88
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
57B / 7S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4
Vol: $5,248
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
94%
50W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-4
Win Rate
94%
50W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20 (4.430803571428571% of PnL)
Top Winners
Biden drops out by July 12?$16
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$3
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?$1
Xi Jinping out before October?$1
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$1
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?$1
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$1
Will ETH dip below $3,000 in June?$0
Iran Nuke by July 31?$0
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?$0
Top Losers
Will Biden drop out on July 21?$-30
Will Elon tweet less than 550 times Jan 3-Jan 10?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.012
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
315
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
26.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 0.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal11% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.21
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.2%
Sessions
#123/4/2026, 3:19:33 AM2 trades$2195 min
9/21/2025, 2:47:06 AM1 trades$2090 min
6/28/2026, 3:55:26 AM3 trades$1560 min
2/3/2026, 8:51:18 AM1 trades$1200 min
1/27/2026, 12:28:17 PM1 trades$1200 min
7/8/2024, 12:59:03 PM1 trades$1170 min
6/29/2024, 10:16:11 AM2 trades$1161 min
4/14/2025, 1:20:30 PM1 trades$1090 min
7/21/2024, 2:38:53 AM2 trades$1090 min
8/25/2024, 9:28:44 AM1 trades$1040 min
8/21/2024, 3:20:38 AM1 trades$1040 min
8/18/2024, 3:59:01 AM1 trades$1030 min
8/16/2024, 4:05:53 AM1 trades$1030 min
2/25/2025, 2:02:58 AM1 trades$890 min
3/29/2026, 12:22:00 AM1 trades$880 min
6/21/2026, 7:16:13 AM2 trades$750 min
11/6/2024, 9:23:31 AM1 trades$710 min
1/25/2025, 2:03:04 PM2 trades$691 min
6/17/2026, 6:22:46 AM2 trades$620 min
11/14/2024, 7:51:19 AM1 trades$610 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-29
08-16
10-21
12-09
03-17
11-08
03-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.8 / M0 / H98.2