@debtsomuchdebt
#2,884,795350x8ff3e811462117c836d451717286b1383f3faa8d
~34d· 139 markets · 1406 tradesVol: $96,9752026-08-04 21:05:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
65% (90/139)17.4/20
0.17x (win $932 / loss $5,461)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2300/15
Sortino -4.1360/10
$-0.1475 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 388 (139 markets)10/10
20/33 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 10087% of peak ($4,757 / $47)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 65%
DCA Master
Avg 10.4 entries/market
Consistent
20/33 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Categories
5🌤️ WEATHER#292,737$-273Vol: $82,422
₿ CRYPTO#1,577,748$-386Vol: $12,484
⚽ SPORTS#1,354,523$-10Vol: $156
🏛️ POLITICS#334,702$1Vol: $93
🎭 CULTURE#536,415$-1Vol: $12
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-671
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$96,975
Total Redeem
$332
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
139
total markets
Trades
554B / 852S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d
Periods
#2Today
$-378
Vol: $2,600
Week
$-340
Vol: $4,556
Month
$-266
Vol: $5,692
All Time
$-671
Vol: $96,975
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
65%
90W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$-671
Win Rate
65%
90W / 49L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-144
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $253 (0.3769057661067975% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 19?$104
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 21?$81
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15?$68
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 17?$52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 20?$52
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 14?$46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 11?$38
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 13?$33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 18?$33
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 23?$31
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14?$-3,175
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 28?$-650
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14?$-400
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15?$-368
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 16?$-341
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?$-295
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-21
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 25?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.218
Sortino
-0.137
HHI
401
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.147
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.1%
Top-5 markets
35.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
22.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 294s — normal for humanCV 2.55 — diverse sizes (human-like)49% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity23 trades/day — high frequency2.2 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)7.2%
High (>55c)89.4%
Sessions
#127/10/2026, 7:09:52 AM15 trades$2,5722 min
7/10/2026, 7:43:02 AM2 trades$2,3250 min
6/15/2026, 3:27:00 AM18 trades$1,4239 min
6/21/2026, 1:42:46 AM2 trades$1,3740 min
6/20/2026, 1:56:11 AM2 trades$1,2840 min
7/14/2026, 5:08:08 AM8 trades$1,1251 min
7/11/2026, 2:24:43 AM23 trades$1,0894 min
6/27/2026, 4:06:10 AM2 trades$1,0640 min
6/17/2026, 2:55:15 AM2 trades$1,0590 min
6/24/2026, 1:21:28 PM6 trades$1,0378 min
7/10/2026, 4:24:08 AM16 trades$1,0328 min
6/14/2026, 10:19:06 AM11 trades$1,0080 min
7/11/2026, 2:34:46 AM3 trades$1,0050 min
7/23/2026, 7:46:57 AM22 trades$8465 min
7/10/2026, 2:01:37 AM3 trades$8400 min
7/10/2026, 12:43:16 AM12 trades$7746 min
6/19/2026, 1:11:14 AM13 trades$7548 min
7/23/2026, 4:42:45 AM10 trades$7043 min
6/14/2026, 11:33:12 AM5 trades$6560 min
6/27/2026, 3:37:31 AM13 trades$6504 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-07
06-12
06-17
06-23
07-07
07-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
80% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.4 / M7.2 / H89.4