@Orangtaco
#2,891,621580x90073d33aee38857a0cf3fc7e658986b8dbbcf89
~96d· 148 markets · 510 tradesVol: $33,9402026-08-04 21:24:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (78/146)11.7/20
1.27x (win $2,571 / loss $2,026)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.61915/15
Sortino 3.23110/10
$+0.0399 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 392 (146 markets)10/10
33/73 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 149% of peak ($898 / $603)0/10
Badges
2Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#1,793,884$-472Vol: $15,062
💰 FINANCE#30,634$36Vol: $5,869
🏛️ POLITICS#1,527,289$-107Vol: $5,713
💻 TECH#215,019$-5Vol: $2,271
🎭 CULTURE#775,283$-82Vol: $1,501
₿ CRYPTO#1,407,493$-58Vol: $1,419
📈 ECONOMICS#17,355$55Vol: $866
📢 MENTIONS#152,921$-38Vol: $212
🌤️ WEATHER#257,461$-17Vol: $36
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-716
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,940
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
148
total markets
Trades
234B / 276S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~96d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $136
Month
$-8
Vol: $136
All Time
$-716
Vol: $33,940
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
78W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$-716
Win Rate
53%
78W / 68L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-36
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $755 (1.0547154516994632% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$298
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?$261
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$196
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$184
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$162
Egypt vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score$137
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$83
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$71
Croatia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$63
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$60
Top Losers
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$-193
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-146
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-141
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?$-120
New Zealand vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5$-109
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$-107
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-21?$-82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$-81
San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 12.5$-60
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-56
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.084
Sortino
0.159
HHI
561
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.033
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.4%
Top-5 markets
41.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 470s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.96
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)17.5%
High (>55c)76.5%
Sessions
#126/7/2026, 9:19:16 AM15 trades$2,3395 min
6/19/2026, 8:58:47 AM15 trades$1,2240 min
5/19/2026, 5:50:59 AM7 trades$1,0042 min
6/24/2026, 8:56:49 PM7 trades$8463 min
6/7/2026, 6:28:39 PM10 trades$8114 min
6/26/2026, 3:18:44 PM13 trades$80911 min
6/24/2026, 8:26:38 PM7 trades$7161 min
5/1/2026, 5:09:18 PM8 trades$5383 min
5/3/2026, 4:32:48 PM7 trades$5360 min
6/27/2026, 8:08:19 AM3 trades$4930 min
5/23/2026, 7:39:38 AM9 trades$4440 min
6/6/2026, 10:36:39 PM30 trades$3898 min
10/18/2025, 8:33:47 PM3 trades$3541 min
9/4/2025, 8:10:38 PM2 trades$3510 min
6/12/2026, 4:28:01 PM5 trades$3444 min
6/16/2026, 4:26:29 PM8 trades$3056 min
9/18/2025, 8:29:54 PM2 trades$3012 min
6/11/2026, 9:51:18 AM7 trades$2870 min
6/12/2026, 5:19:49 PM6 trades$2871 min
9/17/2025, 7:01:18 PM1 trades$2840 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-19
03-20
08-23
09-25
05-03
06-20
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 512 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M17.5 / H76.5