DingXianSiTai

@DingXianSiTai

#72,29529

0x900ad164dce58f76cc18f4239c1303117609bb70

~56d· 69 markets · 315 tradesVol: $57,7172026-08-04 19:00:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (26/50)11/20
0.91x (win $1,794 / loss $1,980)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4750/15
Sortino -0.5450/10
$-0.0088 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 660 (50 markets)9.2/10
19/31 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 114% of peak ($1,493 / $1,306)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,224
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Consistent
19/31 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#52,854$145Vol: $32,156
CRYPTO#33,673$831Vol: $17,325
📈 ECONOMICS#6,586$292Vol: $6,380
🌤️ WEATHER#271,528$-37Vol: $1,756
SPORTS#1,278,656$-7Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,224
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,717
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
205B / 110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $69
All Time
$1,224
Vol: $57,717

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
26W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$1,224
Win Rate
52%
26W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$69
Avg Loss
$-83

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $742 (0.6060885834974221% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?$423
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$163
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?$156
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 14?$134
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?$129
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$124
Will Solana reach $260 before 2026?$103
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$84
Will Pump.fun hit $0.01 in 2025?$79
Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026?$78

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-1,090
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?$-403
Will Solana reach $220 in July?$-160
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 15?$-58
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?$-37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 11°C on March 16?$-35
Solana Up or Down on October 20?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on March 15?$-21
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on August 15?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 14?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.024
Sortino
-0.019
HHI
196
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
24.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 2.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.68
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.6%
Mid (20-55c)19%
High (>55c)44.4%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 1:53:52 AM2 trades$6,4960 min
8/22/2025, 2:53:19 AM4 trades$1,9412 min
10/20/2025, 3:11:11 AM2 trades$1,7430 min
10/18/2025, 10:42:45 AM1 trades$1,3800 min
3/8/2026, 2:43:51 AM22 trades$1,33917 min
1/8/2026, 1:49:31 AM2 trades$1,2081 min
11/4/2025, 9:29:37 AM4 trades$1,1212 min
3/12/2026, 7:59:49 AM16 trades$9006 min
12/1/2025, 8:54:24 AM3 trades$7553 min
11/29/2025, 9:23:31 AM1 trades$7510 min
11/5/2025, 7:39:15 PM1 trades$7130 min
7/23/2025, 6:56:12 AM3 trades$7124 min
11/22/2025, 4:53:07 AM1 trades$6310 min
11/23/2025, 4:05:01 AM3 trades$6294 min
10/30/2025, 6:17:25 AM2 trades$6231 min
11/26/2025, 3:28:55 AM1 trades$6200 min
11/26/2025, 2:08:43 PM1 trades$6190 min
11/6/2025, 11:13:03 AM3 trades$5623 min
10/1/2025, 8:03:05 PM1 trades$5610 min
4/16/2026, 10:41:44 AM1 trades$5120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-23
10-01
11-04
11-23
12-11
03-15
04-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
24% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.68/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.6 / M19 / H44.4