@halcyonman
#2,629,340660x90160c2e94c8121045614ce7be7addf782443cec
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (146/238)15.7/20
1.16x (win $1,355 / loss $1,169)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.21715/15
Sortino 1.58310/10
$+0.0224 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 146 (238 markets)10/10
44/64 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 70% of peak ($311 / $446)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 61%
Consistent
44/64 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3₿ CRYPTO#1,453,115$-89Vol: $11,719
🌤️ WEATHER#264,092$-23Vol: $11,486
⚽ SPORTS#1,526,644$-31Vol: $462
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-134
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,308
Total Redeem
$58
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
238
total markets
Trades
424B / 512S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~75d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
146W / 92L events
Realized PnL
$-134
Win Rate
61%
146W / 92L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-14
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $221 (1.6514901902051822% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?$89
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 8?$69
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?$63
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 16?$46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 8?$32
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 24?$29
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?$27
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 8?$24
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14?$22
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5?$22
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?$-153
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 20?$-129
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 21?$-110
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 14?$-98
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?$-54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6?$-52
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 20?$-42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1?$-32
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?$-30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 12?$-26
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.063
Sortino
0.055
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
13.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
28.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1690s — normal for humanCV 1.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.93
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)77.1%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 4:06:29 AM11 trades$1,0754 min
4/24/2026, 4:02:12 PM5 trades$3230 min
4/6/2026, 3:51:39 PM2 trades$3120 min
4/26/2026, 4:25:58 PM2 trades$2240 min
4/2/2026, 5:53:09 PM2 trades$2090 min
3/28/2026, 8:33:09 AM1 trades$2090 min
4/28/2026, 2:55:04 PM2 trades$2010 min
3/28/2026, 9:03:21 AM5 trades$1904 min
4/5/2026, 9:34:07 AM1 trades$1790 min
4/29/2026, 10:26:16 AM1 trades$1530 min
6/11/2026, 5:40:40 AM6 trades$1301 min
6/12/2026, 9:27:03 PM3 trades$1220 min
6/14/2026, 2:05:10 AM4 trades$1210 min
4/29/2026, 3:44:50 PM7 trades$1150 min
4/29/2026, 4:18:30 PM2 trades$1140 min
4/26/2026, 8:19:46 AM2 trades$1130 min
3/23/2026, 6:56:37 PM1 trades$1110 min
4/29/2026, 3:54:24 PM3 trades$1100 min
3/21/2026, 10:13:51 AM1 trades$1100 min
6/9/2026, 12:06:19 PM3 trades$1090 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-10
02-22
03-22
04-24
06-06
06-16
07-08
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
62% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M20 / H77.1