@TheobaldRaleign

#468,57563

0x90a2ffada94ca37007c1fd1ff2fb79965e28a3ef

~86d· 163 markets · 382 tradesVol: $40,6902026-08-05 00:38:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (76/148)10.7/20
1.39x (win $98 / loss $71)7.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.09315/15
Sortino 3.30710/10
$+0.0015 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 152 (148 markets)10/10
47/80 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 57% of peak ($16 / $28)2.6/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+13
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,055,614$-5Vol: $16,984
SPORTS#178,621$42Vol: $10,126
🎭 CULTURE#713,932$-16Vol: $8,128
🏛️ POLITICS#906,511$-1Vol: $4,254
💰 FINANCE#107,095$2Vol: $664
📈 ECONOMICS#212,411$0Vol: $470
🌤️ WEATHER#117,530$0Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,690
Total Redeem
$1,647
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
163
total markets
Trades
209B / 173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~86d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$13
Vol: $40,690

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
75W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$13
Win Rate
51%
75W / 73L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27 (2.1287758346581875% of PnL)

Top Winners

Panthers vs. Wild$10
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Mattia Bellucci$8
Penguins vs. Blues$8
Trail Blazers vs. Kings$7
Rockets vs. Pacers$7
Men's Final - Canada vs. USA$7
Nuggets vs. Bulls$6
Wizards vs. Jazz$5
Senators vs. Capitals$4
T20 Series New Zealand vs South Africa: New Zealand vs South Africa$4

Top Losers

Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens$-10
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$-8
Kansas City Royals vs. Chicago White Sox$-7
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group$-3
BNP Paribas Open: Emma Raducanu vs Anastasia Zakharova$-3
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$-2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 10?$-2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmane$-2
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 18?$-2
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 18?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.123
HHI
161
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
13.8%
Half-Kelly
6.9%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
16.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 852s — normal for humanCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)42% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.88
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.7%
Mid (20-55c)6.7%
High (>55c)74.6%

Sessions

#12
4/21/2026, 4:56:08 AM4 trades$3945 min
4/7/2026, 6:35:35 AM4 trades$2822 min
4/5/2026, 11:20:41 AM4 trades$2813 min
4/6/2026, 4:30:27 AM2 trades$2800 min
4/3/2026, 3:45:57 AM2 trades$2790 min
4/26/2026, 5:42:20 AM6 trades$2788 min
5/13/2026, 6:08:30 AM2 trades$2760 min
5/12/2026, 10:02:38 AM2 trades$2750 min
5/10/2026, 9:02:06 AM3 trades$2740 min
3/28/2026, 5:52:19 AM2 trades$2732 min
4/20/2026, 3:57:44 AM4 trades$2693 min
5/11/2026, 9:33:34 AM4 trades$2685 min
5/7/2026, 5:00:06 AM2 trades$2680 min
4/14/2026, 3:12:43 AM7 trades$2683 min
5/9/2026, 4:32:26 AM5 trades$2675 min
4/30/2026, 6:52:22 AM2 trades$2660 min
3/24/2026, 5:04:53 AM2 trades$2645 min
3/29/2026, 3:51:10 AM2 trades$2633 min
5/9/2026, 4:13:25 AM6 trades$2612 min
4/21/2026, 5:50:56 AM2 trades$2600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
02-13
03-09
03-28
04-21
05-08
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.7 / M6.7 / H74.6