Golden-Balls

@Golden-Balls

#2,778,83940

0x914df7a72bc89a582ba60cc241ad78e3b2bce1e2

~98d· 229 markets · 923 tradesVol: $51,7442026-08-04 20:06:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (191/226)20/20
0.67x (win $1,292 / loss $1,930)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6000/15
Sortino -1.6310/10
$-0.0223 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 165 (226 markets)10/10
67/80 profitable days (84%)10/10
Max DD 1021% of peak ($778 / $76)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Consistent
67/80 profitable days
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#10,162$334Vol: $26,518
🌤️ WEATHER#297,627$-1,004Vol: $10,998
💰 FINANCE#9,572$303Vol: $7,574
CRYPTO#129,727$48Vol: $2,510
💻 TECH#18,819$9Vol: $2,064
SPORTS#232,834$19Vol: $1,610
🏛️ POLITICS#1,239,546$-8Vol: $122

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-298
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,744
Total Redeem
$80
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
229
total markets
Trades
603B / 320S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~98d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$24
Vol: $0
All Time
$-298
Vol: $51,744

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
191W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-298
Win Rate
85%
191W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-59

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $219 (0.7350848936312999% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$76
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?$74
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?$69
Will MrBeast's latest video get 16–18 million views on day 1?$51
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?$41
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$36
Will "11.22.63" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)$34
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?$34
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$31
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$30

Top Losers

Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?$-781
Spread: Norway (-1.5)$-232
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 26?$-165
Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1?$-106
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 52-53°F on January 22?$-98
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$-89
Will "M3GAN 2.0" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$-75
Will "The Rip" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$-64
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-44
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.083
Sortino
-0.038
HHI
165
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
21.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 610s — normal for humanCV 2.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.04
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)4.8%
High (>55c)92.4%

Sessions

#12
1/10/2026, 3:30:46 PM2 trades$1,0740 min
1/5/2026, 8:53:51 PM1 trades$1,0020 min
1/10/2026, 5:02:10 AM1 trades$9990 min
1/5/2026, 8:44:51 PM3 trades$9971 min
1/3/2026, 6:52:35 AM1 trades$9960 min
1/5/2026, 4:40:53 PM1 trades$9940 min
1/6/2026, 4:12:53 PM1 trades$9790 min
3/22/2026, 1:44:23 AM7 trades$6646 min
1/9/2026, 5:16:42 PM1 trades$5590 min
1/4/2026, 7:33:37 PM1 trades$4990 min
1/9/2026, 4:54:58 PM2 trades$4980 min
1/4/2026, 4:29:21 AM1 trades$4920 min
1/26/2026, 6:30:30 AM47 trades$4882 min
3/3/2026, 5:19:51 PM7 trades$4752 min
1/4/2026, 5:10:11 AM1 trades$4710 min
3/21/2026, 6:10:49 PM1 trades$4440 min
2/22/2026, 6:41:34 AM1 trades$4110 min
3/22/2026, 1:58:05 AM1 trades$4070 min
1/25/2026, 12:22:54 AM2 trades$3861 min
1/8/2026, 6:07:12 PM2 trades$3820 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-03
01-19
02-01
02-17
03-09
04-01
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M4.8 / H92.4