Kranky

@Kranky

#2,913,61919

0x915243b5ae83fca98a71ee59481ac8fcb74a1311

~125d· 447 markets · 1134 tradesVol: $34,3692026-08-05 02:44:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (199/439)7.7/20
0.78x (win $2,341 / loss $2,991)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8650/15
Sortino -3.8040/10
$-0.1039 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 89 (439 markets)10/10
38/106 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 701% of peak ($806 / $115)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
93% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,694,166$-113Vol: $16,025
CRYPTO#1,593,333$-528Vol: $12,348
💰 FINANCE#635,941$-120Vol: $2,282
🏛️ POLITICS#1,328,747$-14Vol: $1,755
📈 ECONOMICS#642,103$-37Vol: $804
🎭 CULTURE#763,833$-53Vol: $518
💻 TECH#238,835$-27Vol: $338

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-894
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,369
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
447
total markets
Trades
895B / 239S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~125d

Periods

#2
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-894
Vol: $34,369

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
199W / 240L events
Realized PnL
$-894
Win Rate
45%
199W / 240L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $421 (0.4713349438554109% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?$212
Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?$114
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$96
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$88
Will Biden pardon Fauci?$75
Will Bob Menery enter the ring against Johnny Manziel?$65
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 31?$64
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$61
Utah vs. BYU$60
Red Sox vs. Yankees$50

Top Losers

Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$-125
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$-100
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$-78
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-70
Steelers vs. Patriots$-58
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$-53
Raiders vs. Patriots$-50
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$-50
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$-50
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$-45

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.149
Sortino
-0.222
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.107
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 116s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.47
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.8%
Mid (20-55c)82.7%
High (>55c)7.5%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 4:11:29 PM6 trades$4100 min
2/12/2026, 11:41:03 PM36 trades$24662 min
6/3/2026, 11:42:52 PM31 trades$23414 min
6/3/2026, 11:23:54 PM26 trades$21112 min
6/4/2026, 1:29:52 AM14 trades$1883 min
6/4/2026, 2:11:21 AM21 trades$17111 min
2/13/2026, 5:10:17 PM9 trades$16712 min
5/4/2026, 12:51:16 AM8 trades$1661 min
10/19/2025, 8:33:11 PM4 trades$1612 min
7/17/2025, 6:31:46 PM5 trades$13510 min
2/13/2026, 4:55:59 PM3 trades$1326 min
5/25/2026, 11:58:09 PM6 trades$1240 min
2/12/2026, 9:19:25 PM13 trades$11314 min
1/26/2025, 11:20:13 PM5 trades$1085 min
6/3/2026, 10:24:30 PM22 trades$10520 min
2/12/2026, 7:00:45 PM8 trades$1048 min
2/13/2026, 5:31:27 PM5 trades$1038 min
6/4/2026, 1:39:54 AM9 trades$980 min
11/8/2025, 7:14:41 PM5 trades$907 min
6/26/2026, 1:50:38 AM4 trades$760 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-20
04-03
06-19
09-18
11-08
02-16
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 379 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.47/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L9.8 / M82.7 / H7.5