@kaibuk

#168,1772

0x9154e0d5c207170ebea08a727c22d7fc79dbc18c

~8d· 12 markets · 37 tradesVol: $36,4492026-08-05 02:44:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (2/12)0/20
0.97x (win $100 / loss $103)2.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2020/15
Sortino -0.4570/10
$-0.0201 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8747 (12 markets)0/10
1/8 profitable days (12%)0/10
Max DD 104% of peak ($92 / $89)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+217
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
SPORTS#84,772$217Vol: $36,449

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$217
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,449
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
17B / 20S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~8d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
2W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$217
Win Rate
17%
2W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.97x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $100 (0.4622341161814239% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$97
Senegal leading at halftime?$3

Top Losers

Brazil vs. Japan: Draw at halftime?$-20
Norway to win the second half?$-20
France leading at halftime?$-20
Belgium leading at halftime?$-20
Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?$-10
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$-8
Senegal to win the second half?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.010
Sortino
-0.048
HHI
2067
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.1%
Top-5 markets
72.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.8m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 453s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern6/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.2%
Mid (20-55c)35.3%
High (>55c)23.5%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 6:59:50 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
7/1/2026, 9:54:17 PM6 trades$2200 min
7/1/2026, 8:25:28 PM6 trades$1064 min
6/25/2026, 9:40:04 PM2 trades$970 min
7/14/2026, 7:08:56 PM4 trades$580 min
7/11/2026, 10:47:25 PM2 trades$560 min
6/25/2026, 8:28:29 PM2 trades$360 min
6/25/2026, 8:16:07 PM2 trades$290 min
7/6/2026, 10:18:44 AM2 trades$200 min
7/1/2026, 8:20:20 PM2 trades$160 min
7/1/2026, 8:52:50 PM2 trades$130 min
6/19/2026, 7:20:32 PM2 trades$120 min
6/20/2026, 8:20:20 PM1 trades$80 min
7/1/2026, 8:36:49 PM2 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
06-20
06-25
06-29
07-01
07-06
07-11
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.25/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.2 / M35.3 / H23.5