@SmertelniyDollar

#2,758,73736

0x91a534e3596e0f13a325034a29c976921236ef2e

~62d· 230 markets · 1340 tradesVol: $138,7752026-08-05 17:25:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (35/230)0/20
1.10x (win $8,158 / loss $7,447)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.5029.4/15
Sortino 1.05310/10
$+0.0561 per $1 invested2.8/10
HHI 314 (230 markets)10/10
12/53 profitable days (23%)0/10
Max DD 82% of peak ($3,326 / $4,036)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,602,885$-600Vol: $80,930
⚽ SPORTS#126,195$92Vol: $31,451
₿ CRYPTO#45,648$445Vol: $15,099
🎭 CULTURE#792,728$-156Vol: $4,935
🌤️ WEATHER#259,107$-18Vol: $3,224
📈 ECONOMICS#614,969$-14Vol: $2,836
💰 FINANCE#451,843$-1Vol: $182
📢 MENTIONS#123,190$-8Vol: $117

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-261
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$138,775
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
230
total markets
Trades
647B / 693S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~62d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-261
Vol: $138,775

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
35W / 195L events
Realized PnL
$-261
Win Rate
15%
35W / 195L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$233
Avg Loss
$-45

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,838 (18.54621429940579% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$2,041
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,940
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$856
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$797
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$654
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$530
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$365
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$225
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$210
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$113

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-766
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?$-495
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?$-330
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-321
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$-311
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6?$-300
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-277
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$-251
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-247
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7?$-238

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.026
Sortino
0.057
HHI
945
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.6%
Top-5 markets
57.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 281s — normal for humanCV 2.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.5%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)25.5%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 9:18:46 PM25 trades$1,8558 min
6/19/2026, 10:35:17 AM7 trades$1,8131 min
6/16/2026, 12:36:34 PM26 trades$1,8077 min
6/1/2026, 5:04:42 PM2 trades$1,2180 min
6/24/2026, 9:36:02 PM25 trades$1,1645 min
6/7/2026, 6:38:03 PM25 trades$80512 min
6/8/2026, 10:33:06 AM11 trades$7950 min
6/6/2026, 4:00:54 PM20 trades$7780 min
6/26/2026, 5:06:41 PM8 trades$7350 min
6/5/2026, 9:00:21 PM9 trades$7334 min
6/6/2026, 11:45:13 PM7 trades$6242 min
6/7/2026, 8:20:28 PM14 trades$6212 min
6/19/2026, 10:36:14 PM3 trades$6120 min
6/28/2026, 4:16:32 PM30 trades$6065 min
5/21/2026, 6:02:15 PM18 trades$5591 min
6/7/2026, 7:02:15 PM4 trades$5453 min
6/17/2026, 6:38:02 PM3 trades$4990 min
6/14/2026, 6:58:00 PM16 trades$4983 min
6/1/2026, 12:34:45 PM2 trades$4930 min
6/16/2026, 6:08:23 PM29 trades$4833 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-09
04-01
05-20
06-05
06-13
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.74/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.5 / M13 / H25.5