@bbc3333

#20,45663

0x91a84f83b529c68db43bba25994a35f74394b42e

~17d· 44 markets · 466 tradesVol: $439,883 @JazzyPants866162026-08-05 16:35:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (19/44)6.6/20
1.24x (win $29,356 / loss $23,630)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.09615/15
Sortino 5.18710/10
$+0.1207 per $1 invested6/10
HHI 418 (44 markets)10/10
7/14 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($4,455 / $9,479)4.6/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+6,592
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
SPORTS#5,433$9,972Vol: $330,541
CRYPTO#1,662,930$-3,379Vol: $109,342

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,592
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$439,883
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
286B / 180S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
19W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$6,592
Win Rate
43%
19W / 25L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$1,545
Avg Loss
$-1,074

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,795 (1.6375225835420402% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$4,696
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$3,440
Türkiye vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5$2,659
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$2,320
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$2,160
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?$2,015
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$1,761
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$1,523
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$1,327
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$1,260

Top Losers

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-4,190
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-2,574
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$-2,009
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,985
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-1,587
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5$-1,190
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?$-1,091
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5$-1,060
France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$-1,060
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5$-1,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.156
Sortino
0.303
HHI
521
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.113
Kelly %
7.6%
Half-Kelly
3.8%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
37.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
53.9m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 2.25 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.2
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79.4%
Mid (20-55c)11.2%
High (>55c)9.4%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 3:03:19 PM21 trades$10,0004 min
6/26/2026, 7:24:49 PM10 trades$8,9133 min
6/26/2026, 3:13:14 AM11 trades$6,0960 min
6/26/2026, 2:33:10 AM12 trades$5,4671 min
6/29/2026, 9:31:13 PM27 trades$5,1067 min
1/20/2026, 2:16:06 PM1 trades$4,2420 min
6/21/2026, 8:03:49 PM16 trades$4,0006 min
6/23/2026, 10:11:55 PM4 trades$3,9960 min
6/25/2026, 10:52:34 PM8 trades$3,8901 min
6/20/2026, 4:48:13 AM4 trades$3,5800 min
6/29/2026, 5:35:29 PM8 trades$3,3330 min
6/20/2026, 3:52:28 PM2 trades$3,0000 min
6/20/2026, 5:32:13 PM14 trades$2,9802 min
6/26/2026, 2:57:50 AM7 trades$2,8880 min
1/15/2026, 2:28:16 PM1 trades$2,6570 min
3/31/2026, 1:41:29 PM13 trades$2,6006 min
6/22/2026, 4:48:23 PM7 trades$2,5105 min
6/20/2026, 3:53:05 AM2 trades$2,2730 min
4/1/2026, 12:10:15 AM9 trades$2,1170 min
1/15/2026, 3:30:46 PM2 trades$2,0074 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
04-01
06-19
06-21
06-23
06-25
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.2/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79.4 / M11.2 / H9.4