@0x9203a2…1482

#2,395,91278

0x9203a223021ba83d72b5fe2c379666336218169f

~24d· 58 markets · 106 tradesVol: $15,542 @john858572026-08-05 16:40:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

77% (36/47)20/20
4.40x (win $263 / loss $60)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.38815/15
Sortino 18.30410/10
$+0.0243 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 7006 (47 markets)0/10
11/18 profitable days (61%)7.8/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($50 / $203)9.1/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 77%
Consistent
11/18 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

4
CRYPTO#150,101$33Vol: $10,511
SPORTS#1,354,951$-10Vol: $1,278
🌤️ WEATHER#230,797$-5Vol: $129
💰 FINANCE#627,370$-77Vol: $116

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-57
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,542
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
79B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-57
Vol: $15,542

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
77%
36W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-57
Win Rate
77%
36W / 11L
Profit Factor
4.4x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $244 (4.281596062576903% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$205
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?$26
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?$13
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$10
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$5
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 21?$1
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on March 22?$1
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$0

Top Losers

Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q2 investment banking fees be above $3.15B?$-50
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?$-5
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-1
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-1
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-1
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $215 on March 4?$-1
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C or higher on March 23?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.223
Sortino
0.534
HHI
15409
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
119.6%
Top-5 markets
158.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
59%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 5.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)58% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.21
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)1.3%
High (>55c)94.9%

Sessions

#12
3/19/2026, 1:51:31 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
3/20/2026, 7:51:17 PM8 trades$3,8545 min
7/11/2026, 8:46:26 AM10 trades$2,3017 min
3/20/2026, 10:27:21 PM2 trades$9604 min
7/11/2026, 9:00:47 AM2 trades$9240 min
7/17/2026, 1:34:33 PM3 trades$2260 min
3/20/2026, 8:58:43 PM1 trades$1910 min
6/11/2026, 12:16:42 PM2 trades$1060 min
5/7/2026, 7:13:13 AM1 trades$830 min
7/2/2026, 11:53:01 PM2 trades$510 min
1/15/2026, 1:18:54 PM1 trades$500 min
3/21/2026, 7:02:07 AM1 trades$500 min
4/17/2026, 11:52:06 AM1 trades$490 min
3/22/2026, 12:18:33 AM3 trades$433 min
7/5/2026, 10:00:02 PM1 trades$310 min
7/3/2026, 2:00:17 AM2 trades$140 min
2/13/2026, 4:27:37 AM11 trades$112 min
2/23/2026, 1:22:30 AM1 trades$110 min
2/19/2026, 1:34:52 AM10 trades$102 min
3/20/2026, 3:33:45 AM5 trades$91 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
02-02
02-19
03-20
04-17
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6.4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.8 / M1.3 / H94.9