@TreeFrogg1337
#2,913,406280x924805bb75601c5da2039d7d9652747b43d36955
~24d· 149 markets · 355 tradesVol: $38,8262026-08-04 22:48:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
70% (104/149)19.9/20
0.55x (win $1,091 / loss $1,990)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5630/15
Sortino -5.1940/10
$-0.2918 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 837 (149 markets)8.3/10
6/23 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 2605% of peak ($1,175 / $45)0/10
Badges
2Sniper
Win rate 70%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Categories
4🌤️ WEATHER#294,104$-358Vol: $28,480
⚽ SPORTS#1,786,494$-420Vol: $4,497
₿ CRYPTO#1,397,693$-53Vol: $2,108
🏛️ POLITICS#1,057,269$-3Vol: $20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-894
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$38,826
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
149
total markets
Trades
211B / 144S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d
Periods
#2Today
$-50
Vol: $388
Week
$-80
Vol: $1,502
Month
$-132
Vol: $5,271
All Time
$-894
Vol: $38,826
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
70%
104W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-894
Win Rate
70%
104W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-55
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $572 (0.639322450805009% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?$310
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$150
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$112
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$109
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$90
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 11?$79
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?$61
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on June 21?$29
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 20?$22
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 27?$19
Top Losers
Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-474
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-299
Will Argentina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-295
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 11?$-199
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-199
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 11?$-100
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 28?$-59
Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$-25
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.234
Sortino
-0.273
HHI
316
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.292
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
32.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 283s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal3.0 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.2%
Mid (20-55c)22.3%
High (>55c)72.5%
Sessions
#127/3/2026, 4:11:10 AM5 trades$1,7250 min
7/1/2026, 6:58:20 AM4 trades$1,1840 min
6/14/2026, 7:14:36 PM6 trades$1,0050 min
6/30/2026, 7:13:17 PM7 trades$5891 min
7/5/2026, 2:01:46 PM2 trades$3180 min
7/6/2026, 4:54:08 PM4 trades$2840 min
7/11/2026, 4:56:49 AM2 trades$2260 min
7/9/2026, 6:40:32 PM6 trades$1850 min
6/30/2026, 10:40:28 AM2 trades$1600 min
7/2/2026, 4:44:50 AM5 trades$1520 min
6/19/2026, 7:50:11 AM12 trades$1463 min
7/11/2026, 6:35:25 PM2 trades$1350 min
6/29/2026, 10:59:44 AM4 trades$1150 min
7/10/2026, 3:32:26 PM4 trades$1140 min
6/14/2026, 10:29:52 PM11 trades$11019 min
7/15/2026, 8:18:32 PM4 trades$1040 min
7/11/2026, 12:25:41 PM13 trades$963 min
6/14/2026, 9:44:45 PM11 trades$9120 min
6/13/2026, 8:12:52 AM2 trades$830 min
6/14/2026, 7:59:46 PM10 trades$7819 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-19
06-24
06-29
07-02
07-05
07-09
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 6 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
56% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.2 / M22.3 / H72.5