@0x933c75…4170

#2,877,17916

0x933c75ec4af87d3db051e3cfda5a0ee5c24ab820

~24d· 53 markets · 259 tradesVol: $26,7512026-08-04 15:06:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (19/43)7.1/20
0.83x (win $1,159 / loss $1,402)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5850/15
Sortino -2.0230/10
$-0.0206 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1126 (43 markets)6.9/10
6/17 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 193% of peak ($505 / $261)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55

Categories

6
💰 FINANCE#651,877$-657Vol: $16,277
🏛️ POLITICS#77,835$68Vol: $5,963
₿ CRYPTO#1,519,083$-165Vol: $2,696
💻 TECH#15,799$14Vol: $1,111
📈 ECONOMICS#11,892$108Vol: $578
📢 MENTIONS#24,427$6Vol: $126

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-626
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,751
Total Redeem
$911
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
97B / 162S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-626
Vol: $26,751

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
19W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-626
Win Rate
44%
19W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.83x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-64

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $651 (1.0408371944400066% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by March 31?$323
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$205
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$124
GPT-5.5 released by April 15, 2026?$84
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$82
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$81
Will Google reach $320 in March?$53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$34
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 March 16-22?$28

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?$-529
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$-250
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 740k+ BTC by March 31, 2026?$-146
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-92
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?$-80
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $390 in July?$-60
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?$-50
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in July?$-39
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 17-23?$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.081
Sortino
-0.092
HHI
331
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
33.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.09
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.4%
Mid (20-55c)46.4%
High (>55c)39.2%

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 10:25:09 PM14 trades$2,8461 min
7/13/2026, 10:28:43 PM29 trades$2,7605 min
5/1/2026, 8:29:08 PM14 trades$2,5520 min
4/10/2026, 9:00:33 AM28 trades$1,5203 min
5/3/2026, 4:32:22 AM16 trades$1,4140 min
5/1/2026, 8:14:26 PM17 trades$1,4003 min
4/9/2026, 7:05:17 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/3/2026, 4:37:28 AM7 trades$9770 min
7/29/2026, 5:43:50 PM16 trades$6901 min
5/19/2026, 6:23:57 PM6 trades$5051 min
3/16/2026, 8:35:45 PM5 trades$5001 min
3/19/2026, 4:36:03 PM5 trades$4495 min
4/1/2026, 4:57:51 PM2 trades$4230 min
5/8/2026, 2:26:05 AM10 trades$3930 min
3/7/2026, 12:49:57 AM1 trades$3000 min
7/18/2026, 2:07:01 PM12 trades$2820 min
3/6/2026, 9:37:33 PM6 trades$2808 min
4/5/2026, 11:56:39 PM8 trades$2681 min
4/4/2026, 1:22:13 AM6 trades$2580 min
3/6/2026, 8:46:09 PM5 trades$2317 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
03-08
03-16
03-18
03-29
04-03
05-01
07-16
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 89 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.09/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14.4 / M46.4 / H39.2