@matejaolaf

#125,60466

0x936829f79f10136cf618fe1a80c9f9b9fd949bce

~41d· 37 markets · 88 tradesVol: $15,7352026-08-04 23:36:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (22/26)20/20
1.15x (win $3,424 / loss $2,990)4.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.70213.2/15
Sortino 0.8778.8/10
$+0.0490 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 956 (26 markets)7.7/10
20/24 profitable days (83%)10/10
Max DD 400% of peak ($1,739 / $435)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+417
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Consistent
20/24 profitable days
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
94% maker orders

Categories

7
SPORTS#19,310$2,252Vol: $7,512
CRYPTO#1,645,020$-1,846Vol: $6,403
🏛️ POLITICS#192,453$7Vol: $1,385
📈 ECONOMICS#71,606$3Vol: $111
🎭 CULTURE#282,746$0Vol: $108
💻 TECH#103,496$0Vol: $108
💰 FINANCE#124,723$1Vol: $108

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$417
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,735
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
85B / 3S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $47
Week
$1
Vol: $335
Month
$0
Vol: $391
All Time
$417
Vol: $15,735

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
85%
22W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$417
Win Rate
85%
22W / 4L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$156
Avg Loss
$-747

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,172 (5.212265169509825% of PnL)

Top Winners

Orioles vs. Red Sox$802
Twins vs. Marlins$795
Padres vs. Phillies$576
Ethereum Up or Down on July 12?$555
Pirates vs. Brewers$343
Astros vs. Marlins$284
Solana Up or Down on July 4?$40
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$4
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 14?$-1,739
Ethereum Up or Down on July 9?$-703
Nationals vs. Royals$-458
Red Sox vs. Twins$-90

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.026
HHI
765
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
62.6%
Half-Kelly
31.3%
Top-1 market
19.6%
Top-5 markets
50.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5980s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal94% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.31
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)16.5%
High (>55c)83.5%

Sessions

#12
5/14/2025, 5:33:18 AM3 trades$1,7390 min
8/18/2025, 4:30:22 AM2 trades$7400 min
7/8/2025, 10:07:17 AM1 trades$7030 min
8/13/2025, 10:03:35 AM2 trades$6660 min
7/2/2025, 8:54:49 AM1 trades$6240 min
7/1/2025, 12:46:43 PM2 trades$5990 min
7/10/2025, 11:03:40 AM1 trades$5550 min
8/11/2025, 12:47:34 PM1 trades$4580 min
8/5/2025, 2:38:52 AM1 trades$2960 min
5/26/2026, 10:35:37 AM3 trades$1063 min
6/15/2026, 9:43:10 AM4 trades$1011 min
7/30/2025, 10:37:25 AM1 trades$900 min
7/3/2026, 8:54:59 PM2 trades$763 min
8/3/2026, 10:44:30 AM1 trades$600 min
8/2/2026, 10:36:41 AM1 trades$600 min
8/2/2026, 10:39:05 PM1 trades$600 min
6/26/2026, 11:46:55 AM1 trades$590 min
6/15/2026, 1:34:43 PM1 trades$580 min
6/27/2026, 4:40:01 AM1 trades$570 min
6/15/2026, 10:14:30 AM1 trades$570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
07-08
08-11
04-16
05-23
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M16.5 / H83.5