@FredericM
#2,832,447780x93724e69d3b4ebe7c45c71a526e82613c59a5093
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
48% (98/204)9/20
1.90x (win $2,516 / loss $1,327)13.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.84215/15
Sortino 6.77610/10
$+0.2114 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 318 (204 markets)10/10
44/102 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 36% of peak ($464 / $1,296)6.8/10
Badges
2Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🎭 CULTURE#802,333$-298Vol: $25,075
🏛️ POLITICS#1,511,993$-93Vol: $13,288
₿ CRYPTO#112,357$69Vol: $11,497
📢 MENTIONS#122,372$-7Vol: $4,065
⚽ SPORTS#1,023,516$-2Vol: $3,847
💰 FINANCE#623,136$-60Vol: $3,091
💻 TECH#239,589$-29Vol: $1,403
🌤️ WEATHER#260,366$-20Vol: $981
📈 ECONOMICS#39,322$11Vol: $895
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-435
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$65,203
Total Redeem
$78
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
217
total markets
Trades
434B / 87S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~110d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$7
Vol: $65
Month
$-19
Vol: $166
All Time
$-435
Vol: $65,203
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
48%
98W / 106L events
Realized PnL
$-435
Win Rate
48%
98W / 106L
Profit Factor
1.9x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-13
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,956 (4.495047001769749% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$864
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$758
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$334
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15?$68
Will Berachain launch in 2024?$51
草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?$36
Will Berachain not launch a token in 2024?$32
Will Angela Rayner be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$29
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score$21
Top Losers
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times October 18-25?$-273
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $30B?$-94
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-63
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-59
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-45
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$-44
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40
Another Elon baby by June 30?$-34
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?$-31
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$-30
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.096
Sortino
0.290
HHI
216
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.218
Kelly %
16.6%
Half-Kelly
8.3%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
25.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
40.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2436s — normal for humanCV 2.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.47
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)24%
Mid (20-55c)15%
High (>55c)61.1%
Sessions
#1210/19/2024, 10:50:14 AM3 trades$8802 min
10/18/2024, 10:25:05 PM10 trades$5059 min
6/4/2026, 9:48:45 PM3 trades$3320 min
10/19/2024, 11:04:32 AM2 trades$3114 min
10/19/2024, 10:58:04 AM1 trades$2920 min
6/21/2026, 8:49:08 PM23 trades$22313 min
6/7/2026, 6:00:10 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/8/2026, 4:27:01 PM7 trades$1722 min
6/14/2026, 12:13:22 PM1 trades$1660 min
6/14/2026, 10:35:51 PM1 trades$1660 min
5/31/2026, 7:52:07 PM7 trades$1361 min
6/9/2026, 9:18:12 PM10 trades$1255 min
6/20/2026, 9:37:37 PM1 trades$1070 min
5/31/2026, 3:31:42 PM1 trades$900 min
10/22/2024, 8:42:56 PM4 trades$855 min
6/11/2026, 8:12:07 PM5 trades$742 min
7/6/2026, 7:18:31 PM5 trades$610 min
6/7/2026, 4:27:52 PM9 trades$557 min
6/15/2026, 3:50:51 PM3 trades$530 min
7/3/2026, 5:50:31 AM2 trades$500 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-16
10-26
07-10
11-11
01-11
06-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 545 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L24 / M15 / H61.1