@kmnjhfvgbyh

#3,061,99117

0x93d1974fcfb0885f4a438f67aa74c6d86a28a451

~46d· 76 markets · 216 tradesVol: $54,3952026-08-04 22:23:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (34/64)11.6/20
0.20x (win $2,881 / loss $14,175)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3750/15
Sortino -3.3550/10
$-0.5188 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3019 (64 markets)0/10
18/34 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 32091900% of peak ($12,837 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
30% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#682,876$-11,013Vol: $18,756
💰 FINANCE#653,978$-992Vol: $15,571
🏛️ POLITICS#29,786$423Vol: $7,612
⚽ SPORTS#1,554,532$-38Vol: $6,604
🎭 CULTURE#808,918$-755Vol: $5,197
💻 TECH#218,884$-5Vol: $293
📢 MENTIONS#7,814$66Vol: $262
₿ CRYPTO#1,306,106$-27Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12,341
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,395
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
181B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $95
Month
$9
Vol: $95
All Time
$-12,341
Vol: $54,395

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
34W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-12,341
Win Rate
53%
34W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$85
Avg Loss
$-472

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,989 (0.1611987297347888% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1,362
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$446
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$182
Will the Jaguars win the AFC Championship?$160
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in January?$89
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?$84
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$78
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?$75
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?$49
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?$45

Top Losers

Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?$-10,965
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$-720
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?$-575
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$-559
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?$-328
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or less in December?$-147
Will "Rental Family" score at least 87 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-95
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?$-86
Will Eric Swalwell advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$-85
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$-83

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.174
Sortino
-0.123
HHI
2616
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.594
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
50.4%
Top-5 markets
64.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
79%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 258s — normal for humanCV 2.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)79% night trades — never sleeps16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.03
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.4%
Mid (20-55c)30.9%
High (>55c)38.7%

Sessions

#12
12/15/2025, 2:28:37 AM4 trades$4,5258 min
12/15/2025, 3:20:09 AM7 trades$2,0508 min
12/10/2025, 3:09:25 AM2 trades$1,7661 min
12/10/2025, 3:39:15 AM1 trades$1,6920 min
12/19/2025, 2:11:53 AM5 trades$1,30910 min
12/3/2025, 3:26:03 AM4 trades$1,2125 min
12/31/2025, 3:16:51 AM6 trades$1,0566 min
1/6/2026, 3:04:49 AM1 trades$8980 min
12/10/2025, 3:00:10 AM1 trades$8820 min
1/2/2026, 5:04:07 AM2 trades$8403 min
3/10/2026, 10:54:09 PM1 trades$8210 min
11/12/2025, 3:39:58 AM2 trades$7200 min
12/12/2025, 1:58:08 AM1 trades$6860 min
2/11/2026, 2:18:27 AM1 trades$5590 min
6/25/2026, 10:42:37 PM12 trades$4963 min
1/15/2026, 11:06:02 PM2 trades$3571 min
1/12/2026, 2:51:28 AM5 trades$3149 min
1/12/2026, 4:45:35 PM2 trades$2981 min
1/13/2026, 3:41:39 AM11 trades$27712 min
11/26/2025, 2:50:25 AM6 trades$2707 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-08
11-29
12-19
12-27
01-08
01-19
02-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 95 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.03/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.4 / M30.9 / H38.7