ligeiwoguolai

@ligeiwoguolai

#31,14762

0x941ed83f40655dbbd0b0dd92f06e98a3a3fd9775

~258d· 1490 markets · 5370 tradesVol: $353,0032026-08-04 22:23:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (802/1403)13.6/20
1.19x (win $31,771 / loss $26,770)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.97615/15
Sortino 2.21010/10
$+0.0357 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 175 (1403 markets)10/10
100/224 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 54% of peak ($5,823 / $10,702)3.1/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+3,887
Whale
$139,958 invested
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,654,026$-2,346Vol: $119,021
🏛️ POLITICS#6,641$4,679Vol: $82,107
💰 FINANCE#3,101$1,492Vol: $54,647
SPORTS#1,769,053$-305Vol: $30,326
💻 TECH#257,560$-1,011Vol: $11,137
🎭 CULTURE#20,148$105Vol: $6,606
📈 ECONOMICS#7,015$266Vol: $4,208
🌤️ WEATHER#255,196$-15Vol: $88
📢 MENTIONS#146,398$-25Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,887
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$353,003
Total Redeem
$4,546
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1490
total markets
Trades
3498B / 1872S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~258d

Periods

#2
Today
$-64
Vol: $74
Week
$-18
Vol: $164
Month
$-203
Vol: $164
All Time
$3,887
Vol: $353,003

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
802W / 600L events
Realized PnL
$3,887
Win Rate
57%
802W / 600L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-51

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,778 (2.0009673344533145% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$3,440
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)$2,880
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$1,458
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1,299
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,178
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$995
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$771
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$743
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?$715
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$605

Top Losers

TikTok sale announced in 2025?$-1,105
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$-1,000
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$-880
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)$-718
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?$-622
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$-600
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-507
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?$-420
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April?$-388
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$-380

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.051
Sortino
0.101
HHI
96
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
15.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 170s — normal for humanCV 3.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.1 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.88
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7%
Mid (20-55c)25.6%
High (>55c)67.4%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 6:03:29 PM25 trades$11,77512 min
12/30/2025, 5:32:59 AM1 trades$5,8840 min
12/30/2025, 4:52:31 AM1 trades$5,4560 min
10/31/2025, 7:58:07 AM49 trades$5,1205 min
11/13/2025, 6:06:24 AM3 trades$4,7872 min
12/22/2025, 10:12:47 AM1 trades$3,8690 min
4/6/2026, 2:18:59 AM49 trades$3,6202 min
12/4/2025, 2:05:21 PM1 trades$3,1900 min
6/11/2026, 2:35:03 AM45 trades$2,8555 min
12/30/2025, 4:02:11 AM1 trades$2,4000 min
12/29/2025, 5:51:45 PM2 trades$2,1542 min
1/6/2026, 6:43:17 PM1 trades$2,0370 min
1/6/2026, 12:03:59 PM1 trades$1,7850 min
3/21/2026, 5:13:45 AM2 trades$1,5855 min
3/28/2026, 10:29:53 AM3 trades$1,4050 min
5/17/2026, 2:29:19 AM14 trades$1,2582 min
11/14/2025, 4:01:08 PM3 trades$1,2394 min
3/26/2026, 3:34:53 PM6 trades$1,2265 min
11/13/2025, 4:24:08 PM2 trades$1,2141 min
4/16/2026, 6:00:06 AM15 trades$1,1912 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-14
12-22
02-10
03-22
05-07
06-14
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 174 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7 / M25.6 / H67.4