@b4nd9t

#2,637,52413

0x945fdb19e8a982bcaa89709f317701d474708125

~46d· 101 markets · 481 tradesVol: $89,8382026-08-04 20:08:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (35/100)2.5/20
0.49x (win $7,285 / loss $14,991)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6000/15
Sortino -3.6530/10
$-0.1712 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1245 (100 markets)6.3/10
14/31 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 549% of peak ($9,425 / $1,718)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#6,256$319Vol: $42,055
🏛️ POLITICS#1,601,306$-579Vol: $40,074
⚽ SPORTS#67,606$344Vol: $3,947
₿ CRYPTO#1,326,567$-31Vol: $2,221
💰 FINANCE#608,853$-32Vol: $1,020
📢 MENTIONS#168,207$-175Vol: $385
🌤️ WEATHER#244,125$-10Vol: $29

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-139
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$89,838
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
101
total markets
Trades
300B / 181S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~46d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-139
Vol: $89,838

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
35W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$-139
Win Rate
35%
35W / 64L
Profit Factor
0.49x
Avg Win
$208
Avg Loss
$-231

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,398 (24.397085217890737% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,460
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$993
Government shutdown on Saturday?$946
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$944
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$879
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$836
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$539
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$117
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?$76
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$72

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-4,725
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-3,793
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-2,804
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-1,675
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$-313
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-170
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$-159
Military action against Iran ends by March 24, 2026?$-156
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$-112
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?$-112

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.185
Sortino
-0.150
HHI
4144
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.6%
Top-5 markets
125.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 3.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.21
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.3%
Mid (20-55c)35.3%
High (>55c)27.3%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:36:25 PM31 trades$8,1270 min
5/1/2026, 4:33:02 PM2 trades$6,5930 min
6/25/2026, 3:32:55 PM23 trades$5,4021 min
5/12/2026, 2:22:14 AM1 trades$3,4750 min
4/4/2026, 8:09:35 AM6 trades$3,3461 min
6/25/2026, 12:06:56 AM6 trades$3,3151 min
5/3/2026, 4:24:10 PM2 trades$3,0742 min
4/22/2026, 3:12:42 AM1 trades$2,9370 min
6/25/2026, 11:07:11 AM17 trades$2,6931 min
5/13/2026, 1:44:34 AM2 trades$2,6000 min
3/12/2026, 5:33:55 AM1 trades$2,1600 min
6/12/2026, 5:37:18 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
4/4/2026, 7:26:07 AM8 trades$1,9197 min
3/16/2026, 12:38:49 PM1 trades$1,7370 min
4/3/2026, 10:04:31 PM5 trades$1,4940 min
4/7/2026, 11:25:11 PM17 trades$1,4870 min
4/7/2026, 10:46:37 PM10 trades$1,4551 min
3/31/2026, 12:14:17 PM1 trades$1,4240 min
3/26/2026, 7:01:33 AM1 trades$1,4000 min
3/25/2026, 11:05:21 AM1 trades$1,1460 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-13
02-23
03-12
03-23
04-07
06-14
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 98 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.21/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.3 / M35.3 / H27.3