@nikola123

#2,885,2079

0x947cb439594c7a1bcb57750ebe8fc4aac8f59a5c

~76d· 306 markets · 1529 tradesVol: $47,8062026-08-04 18:59:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (96/301)0.9/20
0.63x (win $1,160 / loss $1,834)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0360/15
Sortino -4.9200/10
$-0.1725 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 800 (301 markets)8.5/10
17/62 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($795 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#286,261$-111Vol: $12,221
🏛️ POLITICS#1,454,402$-45Vol: $9,415
SPORTS#1,625,329$-64Vol: $8,903
🎭 CULTURE#779,367$-97Vol: $5,566
CRYPTO#1,398,493$-53Vol: $4,058
💰 FINANCE#637,588$-137Vol: $3,951
📢 MENTIONS#166,109$-127Vol: $2,699
📈 ECONOMICS#646,417$-47Vol: $789
💻 TECH#170,752$-0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-675
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,806
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
306
total markets
Trades
780B / 749S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~76d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-675
Vol: $47,806

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
96W / 205L events
Realized PnL
$-675
Win Rate
32%
96W / 205L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $430 (0.6380537270948231% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$215
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 41°C on June 24?$120
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$96
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on June 27?$79
Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$69
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?$60
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$50
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?$34
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 25?$26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$22

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-192
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?$-122
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?$-57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$-51
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?$-44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET$-40
Will "Peaky Blinders: The Immortal Man" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$-35
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?$-35

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.209
Sortino
-0.254
HHI
170
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.158
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
20.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 150s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal2.0 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.44
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.5%
Mid (20-55c)34.5%
High (>55c)35%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 7:56:06 PM14 trades$1,30411 min
6/24/2026, 8:18:05 AM8 trades$9774 min
4/24/2026, 4:24:50 PM6 trades$5512 min
3/27/2026, 11:43:53 PM30 trades$40636 min
5/24/2026, 8:53:18 AM2 trades$2080 min
5/24/2026, 8:42:35 AM3 trades$1701 min
6/27/2026, 8:49:41 PM10 trades$1534 min
3/27/2026, 11:23:11 PM16 trades$12114 min
5/24/2026, 8:03:06 PM7 trades$1212 min
3/27/2026, 6:52:39 PM70 trades$12093 min
6/6/2026, 4:35:21 PM6 trades$1051 min
6/23/2026, 10:29:19 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/24/2026, 10:31:08 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/7/2026, 2:05:46 AM8 trades$985 min
6/16/2026, 8:29:48 AM8 trades$973 min
6/27/2026, 3:47:08 AM9 trades$970 min
3/27/2026, 11:02:45 PM10 trades$8711 min
6/14/2026, 7:13:51 AM10 trades$828 min
6/22/2026, 10:31:28 AM6 trades$823 min
5/23/2026, 3:44:07 AM9 trades$795 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-29
03-08
03-31
05-02
05-24
06-14
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.44/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L30.5 / M34.5 / H35