@hermes-weather
#138,884900x94a55b1e352315f8c31a6e70a223571daf8dabfb
~80d· 2364 markets · 7560 tradesVol: $438,6552026-08-05 17:30:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
91% (2141/2360)20/20
3.53x (win $357 / loss $101)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.68215/15
Sortino 25.80410/10
$+0.0016 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 20 (2360 markets)10/10
74/80 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 9% of peak ($22 / $255)10/10
Badges
8Sniper
Win rate 91%
Profitable
PnL $+332
Whale
$159,895 invested
Consistent
74/80 profitable days
High Roller
$1,537/day
Cool Head
Max DD 9%
Win Streak
60 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#3,571$332Vol: $438,655
Overview
#1Net PnL
$332
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$438,655
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2364
total markets
Trades
4870B / 2690S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~80d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $1,689
Week
$25
Vol: $8,284
Month
$32
Vol: $12,855
All Time
$332
Vol: $438,655
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
91%
2140W / 219L events
Realized PnL
$332
Win Rate
91%
2140W / 219L
Profit Factor
3.53x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-4
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $67 (0.20064393825414498% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?$39
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 19?$16
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 13?$12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 21°C on April 24?$6
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on May 7?$3
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 26?$2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on April 26?$2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 26?$2
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 7?$2
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 11?$2
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on May 16?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 15?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on May 9?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 12?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on May 1?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on May 11?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or higher on May 11?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 30?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May 1?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.504
Sortino
0.468
HHI
14
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
5.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
72.7
Very active
Markets / Day
22.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.5m
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.4
Bot Detection
#665
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock73 trades/day — mass trading23 markets/day — mass coverage64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.2
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%
Sessions
#125/14/2026, 6:08:17 AM3 trades$6,3950 min
5/7/2026, 2:02:44 AM50 trades$2,46912 min
4/26/2026, 8:57:50 AM6 trades$2,1890 min
6/19/2026, 3:56:44 PM53 trades$1,89818 min
4/26/2026, 6:33:58 AM12 trades$1,5141 min
6/6/2026, 4:06:24 PM40 trades$1,4965 min
6/20/2026, 4:00:17 PM44 trades$1,31615 min
6/4/2026, 2:02:19 AM30 trades$1,13610 min
6/5/2026, 3:55:43 PM37 trades$1,11814 min
6/17/2026, 6:00:17 AM44 trades$1,1146 min
6/16/2026, 2:00:33 AM36 trades$1,0676 min
6/16/2026, 3:55:38 PM31 trades$1,05818 min
6/6/2026, 3:01:36 AM38 trades$1,04524 min
6/11/2026, 3:03:24 AM34 trades$1,00912 min
6/8/2026, 3:55:49 PM43 trades$1,00914 min
6/4/2026, 5:01:39 AM23 trades$93011 min
6/12/2026, 4:01:13 PM26 trades$8986 min
6/14/2026, 4:00:31 AM33 trades$88112 min
6/10/2026, 5:11:16 AM32 trades$8552 min
6/8/2026, 9:11:21 AM19 trades$8542 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-14
06-10
06-23
07-07
07-21
08-04
08-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100