@Pollyputthekettleon
#2,977,386220x94aba44f15d4160fdb3d671000157408a00d6bb8
~74d· 850 markets · 2557 tradesVol: $92,1352026-08-05 17:40:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
55% (449/818)12.4/20
0.71x (win $5,187 / loss $7,311)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.0670/15
Sortino -5.3330/10
$-0.1246 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1140 (818 markets)6.8/10
24/56 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,162 / $0)0/10
Badges
2Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8₿ CRYPTO#1,633,112$-1,371Vol: $83,196
🏛️ POLITICS#1,571,929$-243Vol: $7,778
💰 FINANCE#580,860$-12Vol: $581
💻 TECH#193,579$-1Vol: $242
📈 ECONOMICS#578,614$-6Vol: $152
📢 MENTIONS#12,096$29Vol: $104
🎭 CULTURE#536,934$-1Vol: $64
⚽ SPORTS#516,744$0Vol: $18
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,605
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,135
Total Redeem
$549
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
850
total markets
Trades
1417B / 1140S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-20
Vol: $0
Month
$-47
Vol: $583
All Time
$-1,605
Vol: $92,135
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
55%
448W / 369L events
Realized PnL
$-1,605
Win Rate
55%
448W / 369L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-21
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $834 (0.5195254326003378% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$420
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$215
XRP Up or Down - March 21, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$198
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$190
XRP Up or Down - March 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$169
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$155
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$140
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$66
Ethereum Up or Down - December 29, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$65
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$62
Top Losers
XRP Up or Down - December 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$-576
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-360
Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$-309
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-284
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$-260
XRP Up or Down - March 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$-246
Solana Up or Down - March 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$-235
Ethereum Up or Down - March 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$-191
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$-184
Solana Up or Down - December 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$-184
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.263
Sortino
-0.253
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.131
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
14.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.8
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.1m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.3
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 2.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active3.6 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.91
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)32.5%
High (>55c)57.3%
Sessions
#126/5/2026, 3:16:37 PM129 trades$11,16921 min
1/6/2026, 2:36:17 PM46 trades$72016 min
12/30/2025, 1:41:03 PM2 trades$6090 min
12/29/2025, 5:00:05 PM1 trades$5870 min
12/29/2025, 4:54:47 PM1 trades$5220 min
6/9/2026, 8:00:25 PM69 trades$45926 min
3/14/2026, 11:33:21 AM3 trades$4310 min
3/13/2026, 2:14:27 AM3 trades$4275 min
8/1/2026, 10:22:54 AM8 trades$4100 min
3/19/2026, 1:47:57 PM5 trades$40011 min
3/11/2026, 2:40:17 PM2 trades$3940 min
3/22/2026, 4:36:49 AM3 trades$3850 min
6/9/2026, 12:47:54 PM34 trades$38019 min
6/5/2026, 12:08:28 AM160 trades$37920 min
3/12/2026, 2:06:59 PM9 trades$3558 min
12/30/2025, 4:07:57 PM5 trades$3473 min
3/12/2026, 2:59:49 PM2 trades$3450 min
3/19/2026, 8:02:29 PM1 trades$3090 min
12/30/2025, 6:00:05 PM1 trades$2910 min
3/12/2026, 1:42:33 PM2 trades$2842 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-08
12-29
03-14
04-28
05-07
06-06
07-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M32.5 / H57.3