@MPCap20

#33,68691

0x94d7f90aea8b0c6ac87bbb0f9633eec8a62a868b

~223d· 555 markets · 4394 tradesVol: $209,781 @MPCapital20202026-08-03 18:37:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

96% (400/415)20/20
5.52x (win $2,797 / loss $506)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.76315/15
Sortino 37.76110/10
$+0.0181 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 220 (415 markets)10/10
117/125 profitable days (94%)10/10
Max DD 4% of peak ($97 / $2,317)10/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+3,510
DCA Master
Avg 6.2 entries/market
Whale
$126,877 invested
Consistent
117/125 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 4%
Win Streak
70 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#19,589$2,119Vol: $103,396
💰 FINANCE#4,710$851Vol: $56,870
🏛️ POLITICS#82,042$61Vol: $23,248
📈 ECONOMICS#7,163$257Vol: $18,631
SPORTS#138,894$75Vol: $2,075
🎭 CULTURE#128,676$2Vol: $1,313
💻 TECH#43,744$1Vol: $25
🌤️ WEATHER#121,608$0Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,502
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$209,781
Total Redeem
$186
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
555
total markets
Trades
2421B / 1973S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~223d

Periods

#2
Today
$30
Vol: $20
Week
$30
Vol: $338
Month
$111
Vol: $1,077
All Time
$3,502
Vol: $209,781

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
96%
400W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$3,510
Win Rate
96%
400W / 15L
Profit Factor
5.52x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $819 (0.23325308070375386% of PnL)

Top Winners

Meteora FDV above $2B one day after launch?$421
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?$225
Will Solana reach $400 before 2026?$173
Meteora FDV above $4B one day after launch?$147
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?$131
Solana all time high before 2026?$129
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$107
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $50 on the final trading day of June 2026?$72
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?$60
Will Solana reach $500 before 2026?$55

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-179
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.5% and 0.8%?$-64
Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?$-57
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 in April?$-52
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $230 in May?$-35
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in July?$-26
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $315 end of March?$-21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in May?$-18
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-16
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.353
Sortino
0.652
HHI
70
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.028
Kelly %
67.8%
Half-Kelly
33.9%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
14%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 198s — normal for humanCV 2.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.8 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.24
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)2.5%
High (>55c)95.4%

Sessions

#12
12/8/2025, 11:12:19 AM30 trades$5,81430 min
7/7/2026, 7:43:43 PM15 trades$5,7202 min
12/5/2025, 2:51:21 PM24 trades$4,87031 min
11/28/2025, 10:18:43 AM11 trades$4,86913 min
1/17/2026, 8:31:40 PM4 trades$4,5910 min
12/23/2025, 9:33:17 AM4 trades$4,3567 min
1/6/2026, 8:18:53 PM8 trades$2,84710 min
1/29/2026, 12:28:22 PM1 trades$2,7180 min
1/26/2026, 2:51:45 PM3 trades$2,1989 min
5/18/2026, 4:46:29 PM44 trades$2,18833 min
12/23/2025, 3:29:09 AM2 trades$2,1860 min
12/9/2025, 10:34:07 AM1 trades$2,0590 min
2/26/2026, 10:09:50 PM11 trades$1,96512 min
3/31/2026, 8:13:23 PM24 trades$1,9047 min
4/24/2026, 5:43:52 PM5 trades$1,8470 min
12/17/2025, 3:23:32 PM3 trades$1,8242 min
5/18/2026, 10:43:02 AM2 trades$1,6720 min
7/25/2026, 9:03:01 PM33 trades$1,6479 min
9/30/2025, 8:48:59 PM6 trades$1,64013 min
7/7/2026, 11:09:35 PM38 trades$1,6399 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-12
12-10
01-13
03-07
04-18
05-11
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M2.5 / H95.4