@SoulCupe

#2,864,28410

0x95cfeadd37edc704f1fcf95e29c62ce3f7a2e7dd

~35d· 106 markets · 551 tradesVol: $146,2442026-08-05 16:51:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (38/85)7.4/20
0.59x (win $1,519 / loss $2,573)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5700/15
Sortino -2.9220/10
$-0.1838 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3792 (85 markets)0/10
12/29 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 12816% of peak ($1,879 / $15)0/10

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,553,824$-164Vol: $120,410
CRYPTO#1,550,629$-241Vol: $13,391
📈 ECONOMICS#50,865$7Vol: $8,094
SPORTS#1,509,793$-27Vol: $1,803
📢 MENTIONS#144,178$-22Vol: $1,060
🎭 CULTURE#444,303$-0Vol: $218
💰 FINANCE#531,858$-4Vol: $115
🌤️ WEATHER#50,630$1Vol: $97

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-553
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$146,244
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
106
total markets
Trades
203B / 348S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-553
Vol: $146,244

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
38W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-553
Win Rate
45%
38W / 47L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-95

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $739 (1.3361721363348702% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$359
Another pandemic before GTA VI?$202
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$178
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$155
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$141
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$136
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$49
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$47
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$45

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-645
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$-284
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI$-264
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-212
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$-200
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-184
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-64
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 13, 2026?$-60
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?$-59

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
389
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.176
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
31.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 75s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.58
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.3%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)72.4%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 8:02:33 AM7 trades$110,0000 min
6/8/2026, 8:21:16 AM16 trades$1,5637 min
6/9/2026, 10:05:22 AM27 trades$1,18710 min
7/22/2026, 6:50:27 PM35 trades$9832 min
7/22/2026, 2:35:16 PM45 trades$8319 min
7/22/2026, 6:40:37 PM27 trades$5404 min
7/22/2026, 8:45:19 AM18 trades$4471 min
5/27/2026, 11:09:13 AM9 trades$3811 min
6/12/2026, 10:53:57 AM11 trades$3753 min
6/20/2026, 7:15:40 PM2 trades$3170 min
6/2/2026, 9:43:22 AM17 trades$3082 min
6/28/2026, 4:03:16 AM5 trades$2970 min
6/12/2026, 7:36:12 AM7 trades$2674 min
6/11/2026, 1:47:54 PM5 trades$2651 min
6/16/2026, 12:32:21 PM9 trades$2417 min
6/13/2026, 10:26:19 PM2 trades$2350 min
5/27/2026, 11:15:47 AM16 trades$2352 min
7/21/2026, 12:36:42 PM14 trades$2327 min
6/27/2026, 4:55:50 AM4 trades$2253 min
7/21/2026, 10:05:46 AM7 trades$2163 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-18
06-08
06-13
06-17
06-24
06-30
07-16
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.3 / M14.3 / H72.4