@Boxzilla

#196,42318

0x9619ec53ccc502fec64121db14a28cc339fcfb18

~32d· 23 markets · 198 tradesVol: $10,7602026-08-04 22:09:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (10/21)8.8/20
0.41x (win $771 / loss $1,895)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1270/15
Sortino -5.3300/10
$-0.4143 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1704 (21 markets)4/10
7/14 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 874% of peak ($1,299 / $149)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+152
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.8 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#30,651$403Vol: $7,437
🌤️ WEATHER#292,674$-269Vol: $3,206
💰 FINANCE#42,818$18Vol: $118

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$152
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,760
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
105B / 93S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$152
Vol: $10,760

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
10W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$152
Win Rate
48%
10W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$77
Avg Loss
$-172

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $590 (3.8899221738556924% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$391
Will London have less than 20mm of precipitation in April?$103
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$96
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?$71
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$43
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?$26
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 17?$18
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?$12
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 9, 2026?$10
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?$1

Top Losers

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-925
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$-516
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$-151
Will May 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$-100
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 15, 2026?$-74
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?$-35
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-33
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?$-21
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.259
Sortino
-0.237
HHI
2108
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.337
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
33.7%
Top-5 markets
87.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1076s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.81
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.4%
Mid (20-55c)46.7%
High (>55c)21%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 9:29:59 PM5 trades$4340 min
4/5/2026, 5:25:11 AM2 trades$3220 min
3/15/2026, 7:02:15 AM3 trades$2927 min
5/11/2026, 11:46:27 AM4 trades$2290 min
4/12/2026, 9:36:01 PM2 trades$2220 min
1/30/2026, 3:33:48 PM2 trades$2051 min
4/29/2026, 10:23:50 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/3/2026, 9:04:22 PM2 trades$1850 min
6/7/2026, 5:39:07 PM2 trades$1850 min
4/8/2026, 9:38:41 PM6 trades$1750 min
4/7/2026, 2:20:01 PM6 trades$1710 min
5/15/2026, 6:49:23 AM7 trades$1530 min
4/17/2026, 10:21:12 AM7 trades$1270 min
7/1/2026, 6:52:40 AM2 trades$1260 min
3/23/2026, 8:18:09 AM3 trades$1241 min
4/16/2026, 4:06:18 PM8 trades$1240 min
4/16/2026, 4:17:20 PM4 trades$1230 min
4/13/2026, 10:01:39 AM7 trades$1184 min
3/12/2026, 1:23:57 PM1 trades$1120 min
4/8/2026, 10:35:21 PM7 trades$1050 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
03-07
03-14
04-05
04-20
05-11
06-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 93 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.81/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.4 / M46.7 / H21