@Murchds

#295,32557

0x96a1e7c6ff7fcccc6431df2ba31d68155d2dc2d8

~7d· 11 markets · 49 tradesVol: $13,1602026-08-04 18:12:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (4/5)20/20
3.38x (win $323 / loss $96)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0413 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 2220 (5 markets)1.4/10
3/4 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($96 / $323)8.1/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 80%
Profitable
PnL $+59
Consistent
3/4 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 30%

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#1,260,792$-10Vol: $12,240
⚽ SPORTS#186,812$37Vol: $460

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$59
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,160
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
30B / 19S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~7d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
4W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$59
Win Rate
80%
4W / 1L
Profit Factor
3.38x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-96

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $286 (4.81089258698941% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?$148
Spread: Thailand (-1.5)$74
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?$64
Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?$37

Top Losers

US x China tariff agreement by July 31?$-96

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.450
Sortino
inf
HHI
331
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.113
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
36.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.0m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 418s — normal for humanCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.7%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)73.3%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 5:08:26 AM4 trades$1,0060 min
7/15/2026, 5:38:47 AM3 trades$1,0060 min
7/9/2026, 7:26:40 AM3 trades$9510 min
7/9/2026, 9:54:16 AM4 trades$9490 min
7/21/2026, 7:32:27 AM3 trades$9280 min
6/29/2026, 8:59:11 AM6 trades$9252 min
6/9/2026, 5:56:27 AM3 trades$8833 min
6/10/2026, 10:07:54 AM3 trades$7802 min
6/29/2026, 6:46:47 AM2 trades$4750 min
6/9/2026, 4:46:40 AM2 trades$4700 min
6/29/2026, 10:40:25 AM1 trades$4500 min
6/10/2026, 9:19:01 AM2 trades$3900 min
6/16/2026, 4:40:57 AM2 trades$2400 min
6/16/2026, 2:32:10 AM2 trades$2300 min
6/16/2026, 3:48:30 AM2 trades$2180 min
6/16/2026, 5:34:04 AM1 trades$2150 min
7/9/2026, 6:35:43 AM2 trades$570 min
7/9/2026, 7:33:38 AM2 trades$570 min
7/21/2026, 6:46:40 AM2 trades$310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-10
06-16
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 35 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.7 / M0 / H73.3