telosintel

@telosintel

#71,31840

0x96e564fa47c6e9e55dc42f67a3f8d1a6a3a51d85

~134d· 672 markets · 5347 tradesVol: $483,225 @TelosIntel2026-08-05 17:24:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

94% (629/667)20/20
0.79x (win $15,067 / loss $19,081)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5240/15
Sortino -0.5530/10
$-0.0193 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 144 (667 markets)10/10
91/114 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 288% of peak ($15,017 / $5,209)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+1,256
DCA Master
Avg 8.1 entries/market
Whale
$207,613 invested
Consistent
91/114 profitable days
Win Streak
62 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#1,198$1,508Vol: $310,094
🏛️ POLITICS#1,608,252$-757Vol: $67,422
💰 FINANCE#5,158$748Vol: $65,529
CRYPTO#1,551,099$-242Vol: $19,655
📈 ECONOMICS#618,491$-16Vol: $14,960
SPORTS#261,940$13Vol: $4,849
🎭 CULTURE#155,198$1Vol: $510
💻 TECH#37,442$2Vol: $170

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,256
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$483,225
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
672
total markets
Trades
2624B / 2723S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~134d

Periods

#2
Today
$-21
Vol: $2,512
Week
$42
Vol: $8,361
Month
$100
Vol: $8,361
All Time
$1,256
Vol: $483,225

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
94%
629W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$1,256
Win Rate
94%
629W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-707

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,751 (5.374140236912495% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$2,450
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2,404
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1,896
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5?$1,384
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$541
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?$534
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$358
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 17?$343
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 2?$282
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$266

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-13,200
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 18?$-1,180
Will 15-19 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?$-700
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9?$-668
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 17?$-609
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-490
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14?$-342
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 29?$-287
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10?$-246
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?$-189

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.027
Sortino
-0.012
HHI
190
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
11.1%
Half-Kelly
5.6%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
27.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.6m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
31.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 2.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active2.4 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.13
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)3.8%
High (>55c)95.4%

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 4:55:25 PM3 trades$10,0871 min
7/22/2026, 10:06:52 AM6 trades$8,8701 min
6/18/2026, 7:32:05 PM4 trades$7,6310 min
7/24/2026, 7:27:06 AM16 trades$7,2953 min
6/18/2026, 9:29:31 AM48 trades$5,57614 min
6/14/2026, 4:45:15 PM23 trades$4,9518 min
5/12/2026, 10:13:53 AM19 trades$3,3634 min
6/12/2026, 5:28:55 PM1 trades$3,3000 min
6/12/2026, 9:17:27 PM1 trades$3,3000 min
6/4/2026, 8:07:46 AM60 trades$3,00914 min
6/15/2026, 9:53:13 AM86 trades$2,71239 min
6/18/2026, 10:06:26 AM7 trades$2,6141 min
4/2/2026, 7:47:01 AM47 trades$2,5117 min
4/1/2026, 7:46:41 AM112 trades$2,48735 min
3/2/2026, 1:58:23 PM3 trades$2,4335 min
6/14/2026, 8:01:13 AM64 trades$2,34726 min
3/15/2026, 9:28:15 AM23 trades$2,34317 min
6/12/2026, 9:36:45 AM62 trades$2,30518 min
5/14/2026, 6:52:52 AM47 trades$2,2757 min
6/18/2026, 9:50:22 AM39 trades$2,1559 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
03-06
03-25
05-05
06-10
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
36% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.8 / M3.8 / H95.4