@nicotineXu

#2,994,21312

0x96f9c1b08055d2cff8bef9fcd0e8296471116c15

~6d· 45 markets · 440 tradesVol: $20,3052026-08-04 22:41:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (17/45)3.9/20
0.29x (win $453 / loss $1,568)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6240/15
Sortino -4.5960/10
$-0.3177 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1201 (45 markets)6.5/10
8/21 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 824% of peak ($1,414 / $171)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
SPORTS#1,815,478$-750Vol: $7,382
🎭 CULTURE#809,215$-789Vol: $4,006

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,978
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,305
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
188B / 252S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
17W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-1,978
Win Rate
38%
17W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-63

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $370 (0.18723264398038125% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$195
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$113
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 98m?$63
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m?$40
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?$15
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5$5
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins$5
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5$5
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs Level UP - Game 2 Winner$4
Will Montevideo City Torque win on 2026-07-24?$3

Top Losers

Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Jennifer Ruggeri$-982
Will "The Odyssey" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 86m and 92m?$-272
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals$-88
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$-62
FC UTA Arad leading at halftime?$-39
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals$-30
Club Alianza Atlético vs. CD Los Chankas: O/U 2.5$-22
Will CA Banfield win on 2026-07-24?$-13
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-07-24?$-8
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 2.5$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.236
Sortino
-0.192
HHI
1673
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.318
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.3%
Top-5 markets
79.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
55.0
Very active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.4m
between trades
Night Trading
41%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 71s — normal for humanCV 3.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)41% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule55 trades/day — mass trading5.6 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.78
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.5%
Mid (20-55c)49.5%
High (>55c)42%

Sessions

#12
7/24/2026, 4:42:49 PM4 trades$1,1833 min
7/24/2026, 3:45:00 PM10 trades$9147 min
7/24/2026, 10:58:45 PM98 trades$70634 min
7/26/2026, 3:10:22 AM9 trades$6140 min
7/24/2026, 9:27:12 PM18 trades$5879 min
7/25/2026, 1:07:16 AM77 trades$49336 min
7/24/2026, 1:01:58 AM7 trades$3800 min
7/24/2026, 3:58:51 PM12 trades$2884 min
7/24/2026, 11:41:07 PM44 trades$20924 min
7/25/2026, 10:48:34 PM4 trades$1730 min
7/24/2026, 10:40:58 PM20 trades$16813 min
7/30/2026, 5:14:03 AM5 trades$1440 min
7/23/2026, 11:05:37 PM5 trades$1430 min
7/24/2026, 4:53:31 PM6 trades$1323 min
7/25/2026, 12:17:39 PM3 trades$1190 min
7/24/2026, 8:48:34 PM2 trades$1040 min
7/27/2026, 11:26:15 AM4 trades$830 min
7/25/2026, 1:58:06 AM25 trades$6711 min
7/25/2026, 12:53:06 AM11 trades$496 min
7/25/2026, 1:49:52 AM23 trades$363 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-24 19:45:00
2026-07-24 23:00:00
2026-07-24 23:15:00
2026-07-25 00:30:00
2026-07-25 15:30:00
2026-07-31 22:40:00
2026-07-31 23:10:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.5 / M49.5 / H42