@kasen8888

#81,78714

0x9706d517313ef9ed8c620b4e02460ad752d1bc33

~27d· 119 markets · 724 tradesVol: $389,0022026-08-04 17:19:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (32/119)0/20
0.96x (win $29,232 / loss $30,360)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5310/15
Sortino -0.7150/10
$-0.0321 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 169 (119 markets)10/10
10/27 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($7,937 / $6,809)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+997
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#37,662$1,017Vol: $388,822
₿ CRYPTO#1,262,225$-20Vol: $180

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$997
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$389,002
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
119
total markets
Trades
144B / 580S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
32W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$997
Win Rate
27%
32W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$913
Avg Loss
$-366

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,358 (9.386915569108545% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: Ecuador 2 - 1 Germany?$3,275
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana?$3,146
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Egypt?$2,937
Spread: England (-1.5)$2,082
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$1,716
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 4.5$1,279
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$1,200
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$1,114
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)$1,081
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5$1,054

Top Losers

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-1,600
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-1,384
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-1,124
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?$-1,000
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?$-1,000
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-1,000
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)$-1,000
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$-1,000
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Austria?$-800
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$-800

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.027
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
202
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
21.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 521s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.22
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.4%
Mid (20-55c)29.9%
High (>55c)27.8%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 4:04:19 PM112 trades$22,68710 min
6/24/2026, 6:59:46 PM24 trades$13,6825 min
6/29/2026, 4:27:34 PM5 trades$9,4602 min
7/2/2026, 6:49:31 PM18 trades$8,5460 min
6/23/2026, 4:43:41 PM5 trades$8,3341 min
6/22/2026, 4:53:20 PM53 trades$7,5432 min
6/16/2026, 5:21:19 PM27 trades$7,4301 min
6/16/2026, 6:42:43 PM38 trades$5,7379 min
7/15/2026, 2:25:31 PM10 trades$4,7620 min
6/26/2026, 8:48:10 PM34 trades$4,6575 min
7/9/2026, 9:19:50 PM19 trades$4,5770 min
6/22/2026, 3:02:58 AM4 trades$4,5764 min
6/26/2026, 9:17:07 PM11 trades$4,4960 min
6/23/2026, 8:31:01 PM14 trades$4,2142 min
6/20/2026, 7:06:44 AM27 trades$4,0524 min
6/26/2026, 7:30:28 PM7 trades$3,0290 min
6/25/2026, 9:54:29 PM3 trades$3,0040 min
7/6/2026, 8:03:38 PM6 trades$2,9770 min
6/18/2026, 7:53:35 PM8 trades$2,6501 min
6/26/2026, 8:31:53 PM8 trades$2,5870 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-23
06-17
06-21
06-25
06-30
07-04
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
80.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.22/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.4 / M29.9 / H27.8