nayumayu

@nayumayu

#2,263,04122

0x9737d11cbb7864788f60551bdeae0898a507e5cb

~13d· 32 markets · 104 tradesVol: $1,5402026-08-05 00:39:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (14/32)6.9/20
0.43x (win $76 / loss $178)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.3730/15
Sortino -8.0670/10
$-0.4522 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 585 (32 markets)9.6/10
7/13 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($115 / $0)0/10

Categories

2
⚽ SPORTS#1,542,091$-35Vol: $1,504
₿ CRYPTO#921,203$-2Vol: $36

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-37
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,540
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
47B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
14W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-37
Win Rate
44%
14W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25 (0.6852306852306852% of PnL)

Top Winners

Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$9
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$8
Tunisia vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$8
France vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$8
Mexico vs. England: O/U 6.5 Total Corners$8
Switzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$7
Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners$7
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$5
Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$5
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$4

Top Losers

Türkiye vs. United States: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$-32
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 11.5 Total Corners$-20
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners$-20
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$-20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-20
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-20
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$-11
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$-10
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?$-8
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.421
Sortino
-0.652
HHI
642
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.433
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
44.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
41.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
73%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2513s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)73% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.3%
Mid (20-55c)25.5%
High (>55c)70.2%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 12:16:13 AM9 trades$514 min
6/27/2026, 6:34:28 AM4 trades$362 min
6/25/2026, 11:58:01 PM2 trades$240 min
6/26/2026, 2:53:16 AM2 trades$240 min
6/14/2026, 2:22:22 AM2 trades$190 min
6/21/2026, 3:26:11 AM5 trades$195 min
7/6/2026, 12:19:02 AM2 trades$190 min
6/21/2026, 3:06:05 AM7 trades$185 min
6/15/2026, 8:53:55 PM2 trades$170 min
6/16/2026, 12:32:52 AM2 trades$140 min
6/15/2026, 2:02:10 AM2 trades$140 min
6/17/2026, 5:33:07 AM12 trades$139 min
6/25/2026, 12:31:41 AM2 trades$120 min
6/24/2026, 4:06:22 AM2 trades$110 min
6/14/2026, 3:30:40 AM2 trades$90 min
6/16/2026, 9:43:08 PM2 trades$90 min
7/6/2026, 1:56:16 AM2 trades$80 min
6/21/2026, 10:28:20 AM3 trades$80 min
6/23/2026, 1:32:14 AM2 trades$80 min
6/20/2026, 11:30:53 PM3 trades$80 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-16
06-19
06-21
06-24
06-26
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.3 / M25.5 / H70.2