@pepelka

#1,981,22131

0x974d501c5e9ff1bca2229b55a90cce5ab88ce057

~51d· 86 markets · 214 tradesVol: $14,5262026-08-05 17:33:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (47/79)14.7/20
0.68x (win $12 / loss $18)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.0180/15
Sortino -3.4080/10
$-0.0098 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 394 (79 markets)10/10
24/43 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 2202% of peak ($9 / $0)0/10

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,091,613$-4Vol: $6,389
💰 FINANCE#445,696$-1Vol: $3,196
⚽ SPORTS#993,815$-1Vol: $1,052
💻 TECH#192,470$-1Vol: $1,038
🎭 CULTURE#590,019$-2Vol: $775
₿ CRYPTO#760,933$-0Vol: $29
📈 ECONOMICS#359,081$-0Vol: $14
📢 MENTIONS#111,175$-4Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-15
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,526
Total Redeem
$8
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
86
total markets
Trades
116B / 98S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-15
Vol: $14,526

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
47W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$-15
Win Rate
59%
47W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.15319426336375486% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?$1
Will Airbnb (ABNB) beat quarterly earnings?$1
Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?$1
Will Wingstop (WING) beat quarterly earnings?$1
Will Hasbro (HAS) beat quarterly earnings?$1
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1
Will Caterpillar (CAT) beat quarterly earnings?$1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$0
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0
Will Roblox (RBLX) beat quarterly earnings?$0

Top Losers

Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings?$-2
Will Trump say "Trump" during King Charles visit?$-2
Will Prachachat Party (PCC) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-1
Will Mauricio Quezada win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$-1
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24?$-1
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-1
Will Trump post "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" on Truth Social this week?$-1
Will Waystar (WAY) beat quarterly earnings?$-1
Will Michael Swanson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$-1
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.156
Sortino
-0.159
HHI
227
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
24.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 222s — normal for humanCV 1.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.8%
Mid (20-55c)0.9%
High (>55c)85.3%

Sessions

#12
2/13/2026, 8:03:19 PM3 trades$374 min
2/13/2026, 7:43:41 PM2 trades$361 min
2/14/2026, 6:12:47 AM1 trades$350 min
2/14/2026, 6:22:35 AM1 trades$350 min
7/12/2026, 2:04:37 PM4 trades$301 min
5/2/2026, 7:55:50 PM5 trades$292 min
7/11/2026, 8:31:37 PM4 trades$284 min
7/11/2026, 8:05:47 PM5 trades$261 min
3/28/2026, 5:19:05 PM4 trades$231 min
5/4/2026, 3:09:34 PM2 trades$220 min
5/3/2026, 5:10:16 AM2 trades$220 min
4/30/2026, 7:44:04 PM4 trades$202 min
2/13/2026, 8:13:33 PM1 trades$200 min
2/13/2026, 8:33:09 PM1 trades$200 min
5/1/2026, 7:30:02 AM3 trades$200 min
5/7/2026, 5:16:17 AM9 trades$192 min
7/12/2026, 12:55:11 PM2 trades$150 min
7/12/2026, 1:20:55 PM2 trades$150 min
7/12/2026, 1:54:08 PM2 trades$150 min
7/12/2026, 2:54:11 PM4 trades$151 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
02-18
03-07
03-28
04-25
05-07
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.8 / M0.9 / H85.3