@nikonoemi
#2,535,864350x977937b97ca27510af27a0fd6b05f557b565c429
~184d· 722 markets · 2775 tradesVol: $102,4452026-08-04 21:04:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
62% (424/686)15.9/20
0.85x (win $774 / loss $910)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9690/15
Sortino -1.1830/10
$-0.0059 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 100 (686 markets)10/10
96/151 profitable days (64%)8.4/10
Max DD 283% of peak ($319 / $113)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 62%
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Consistent
96/151 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,473,149$-54Vol: $38,091
🌤️ WEATHER#265,411$-25Vol: $24,461
🎭 CULTURE#68,266$10Vol: $17,245
💰 FINANCE#51,768$12Vol: $8,754
⚽ SPORTS#1,403,341$-14Vol: $5,788
📈 ECONOMICS#42,528$10Vol: $2,885
💻 TECH#199,345$-2Vol: $2,117
📢 MENTIONS#98,563$-2Vol: $738
₿ CRYPTO#288,723$5Vol: $180
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-97
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$102,445
Total Redeem
$11
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
722
total markets
Trades
1742B / 1033S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~184d
Periods
#2Today
$4
Vol: $0
Week
$-48
Vol: $143
Month
$-4
Vol: $216
All Time
$-97
Vol: $102,445
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
62%
424W / 262L events
Realized PnL
$-97
Win Rate
62%
424W / 262L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-4
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $186 (1.9135307423401193% of PnL)
Top Winners
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?$73
Will Rick Jackson win the Georgia Republican Governor Primary Runoff by 5–10%?$63
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?$50
Grok 4.4 released by July 8?$32
Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?$32
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $2.00 (LOW) by May 31, 2026?$27
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?$27
Will Cerebras' market cap be at least $100B at market close on IPO day?$14
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?$14
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $13
Top Losers
Worst Cup: Fakers FC vs. Infamous FC$-74
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$-69
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 39°C on January 12?$-62
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 4?$-40
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$-38
Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026?$-37
Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?$-36
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$-34
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-25
Will Alan Wilson win the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary Runoff by at least 15%?$-24
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.051
Sortino
-0.044
HHI
79
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
13.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.8
Active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1002s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active3.1 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.84
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)34%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)63.8%
Sessions
#121/21/2026, 8:14:02 AM8 trades$1,0894 min
1/1/2026, 6:50:47 AM2 trades$2991 min
7/22/2026, 10:28:01 AM4 trades$2983 min
1/20/2026, 8:00:52 AM1 trades$2780 min
1/20/2026, 7:45:50 AM1 trades$2780 min
1/20/2026, 8:59:32 AM1 trades$2760 min
1/20/2026, 8:53:52 AM1 trades$2750 min
7/24/2026, 6:17:03 AM13 trades$2353 min
12/26/2025, 2:00:59 PM2 trades$2195 min
6/19/2026, 9:37:47 AM7 trades$2118 min
6/18/2026, 2:00:16 AM3 trades$2011 min
4/13/2026, 9:02:03 AM2 trades$2000 min
2/5/2026, 3:17:05 AM3 trades$2003 min
12/19/2025, 4:23:43 PM10 trades$20020 min
2/25/2026, 3:45:22 AM6 trades$1996 min
4/13/2026, 6:17:39 AM2 trades$1970 min
1/26/2026, 3:57:25 PM2 trades$1920 min
1/24/2026, 1:44:26 PM4 trades$1843 min
6/10/2026, 5:36:01 PM6 trades$1778 min
1/26/2026, 4:24:51 PM1 trades$1740 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-11
01-06
01-31
02-27
04-25
06-12
07-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 159 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34 / M2.2 / H63.8