@marechal.murat

#2,408,38715

0x97ab9cbef3a427c24145d358f524d3dff8622e6a

~13d· 139 markets · 521 tradesVol: $15,5142026-08-04 14:07:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (37/86)6.5/20
0.44x (win $61 / loss $139)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.8090/15
Sortino -7.6300/10
$-0.1834 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 718 (86 markets)8.9/10
10/35 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($78 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,572,046$-44Vol: $6,681
💰 FINANCE#551,003$-6Vol: $6,533
🏛️ POLITICS#956,711$-2Vol: $1,244
📈 ECONOMICS#514,632$-2Vol: $734
CRYPTO#847,802$-1Vol: $123
🎭 CULTURE#496,469$-1Vol: $67

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-60
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,514
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
139
total markets
Trades
253B / 268S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~13d

Periods

#2
Today
$-11
Vol: $159
Week
$-14
Vol: $891
Month
$-9
Vol: $918
All Time
$-60
Vol: $15,514

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
37W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$-47
Win Rate
43%
37W / 49L
Profit Factor
0.44x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27 (0.5857695614789338% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elimai FK win on 2026-07-16?$19
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-07-29?$4
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2026-07-29?$4
Will Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?$3
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$3
Cordenons: Georgii Kravchenko vs Juan Bautista Torres$2
SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora: O/U 3.5$2
Spread: ŠK Slovan Bratislava (-1.5)$2
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5)$2
The New Saints FC vs. Sabah FK: O/U 3.5$2

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-11
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-07-29?$-4
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?$-4
Athens Open: Magda Linette vs Mai Hontama$-4
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-29?$-4
Spread: FK Crvena zvezda (-2.5)$-4
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-07-29?$-4
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-07-29?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.351
Sortino
-0.484
HHI
119
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.263
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.8
Active
Markets / Day
6.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastCV 0.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity25 trades/day — high frequency6.6 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.71
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.9%
Mid (20-55c)18.6%
High (>55c)71.5%

Sessions

#12
7/24/2026, 3:30:09 PM43 trades$3414 min
8/2/2026, 6:30:09 AM58 trades$865 min
7/14/2026, 6:00:34 PM20 trades$453 min
7/14/2026, 11:34:40 AM19 trades$445 min
7/31/2026, 6:30:09 AM33 trades$432 min
7/15/2026, 5:50:32 PM8 trades$410 min
7/15/2026, 6:59:25 AM20 trades$394 min
7/30/2026, 7:00:32 AM25 trades$361 min
7/28/2026, 4:00:29 PM17 trades$340 min
7/15/2026, 4:40:07 PM6 trades$340 min
7/14/2026, 1:23:04 PM16 trades$303 min
7/14/2026, 5:26:26 PM22 trades$297 min
7/27/2026, 4:00:21 PM19 trades$281 min
7/24/2026, 4:00:09 PM22 trades$260 min
7/15/2026, 8:00:16 PM20 trades$254 min
7/15/2026, 6:00:20 PM12 trades$242 min
7/30/2026, 12:30:08 AM10 trades$221 min
7/15/2026, 4:16:34 PM10 trades$200 min
7/14/2026, 7:00:46 PM10 trades$191 min
7/29/2026, 10:30:29 PM6 trades$141 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-11 11:00:00
2026-07-14 19:00:00
2026-07-16 15:00:00
2026-07-16 20:00:00
2026-07-29 15:30:00
2026-07-29 18:15:00
2026-07-31 23:10:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.9 / M18.6 / H71.5