@JosephTrump

#13,32995

0x97afda90095deb8cbc9eac46acc2a79ab2569bc6

~274d· 365 markets · 7824 tradesVol: $4,367,3562026-08-04 21:03:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (211/324)17.6/20
2.60x (win $597,398 / loss $229,553)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.65715/15
Sortino 9.14310/10
$+0.2840 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 550 (324 markets)9.8/10
98/157 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 22% of peak ($82,834 / $372,560)9.6/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+11,120
DCA Master
Avg 33.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,295,028 invested
Consistent
98/157 profitable days
High Roller
$1,623/day
Cool Head
Max DD 22%
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#47,739$693Vol: $1,885,055
🏛️ POLITICS#6,388$4,912Vol: $1,678,404
📈 ECONOMICS#673,915$-372Vol: $396,427
₿ CRYPTO#9,740$4,941Vol: $272,078
🎭 CULTURE#9,316$384Vol: $79,187
🌤️ WEATHER#2,282$593Vol: $40,862
💰 FINANCE#17,961$102Vol: $14,362
💻 TECH#9,673$39Vol: $432

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11,120
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,367,356
Total Redeem
$5,795
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
365
total markets
Trades
5624B / 2200S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~274d

Periods

#2
Today
$-463
Vol: $3,750
Week
$-274
Vol: $4,789
Month
$-852
Vol: $13,255
All Time
$11,120
Vol: $4,367,356

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
211W / 112L events
Realized PnL
$11,120
Win Rate
65%
211W / 112L
Profit Factor
2.6x
Avg Win
$2,831
Avg Loss
$-2,050

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $520,521 (46.809077984081064% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$383,701
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$128,756
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$8,064
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$6,669
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$6,190
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$4,806
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$4,387
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$4,337
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$3,326
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$2,624

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-54,450
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-35,477
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-26,866
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-20,131
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-13,402
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,969
Browns vs. Raiders$-6,837
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-6,080
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-5,200
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-5,047

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.086
Sortino
0.305
HHI
785
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.210
Kelly %
28.1%
Half-Kelly
14.0%
Top-1 market
19.4%
Top-5 markets
50.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.5m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 136s — normal for humanCV 5.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
33.21
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.7%
Mid (20-55c)16.4%
High (>55c)57.9%

Sessions

#12
1/6/2026, 8:47:23 AM1 trades$34,4860 min
1/4/2026, 8:35:29 PM1 trades$34,1050 min
5/7/2026, 10:47:21 AM9 trades$33,8102 min
3/4/2026, 6:34:27 PM1 trades$28,0500 min
2/6/2026, 11:05:35 PM1 trades$24,8180 min
4/30/2026, 9:02:00 PM2 trades$23,9040 min
5/4/2026, 6:50:08 PM8 trades$23,4165 min
5/4/2026, 8:48:54 PM15 trades$22,2983 min
5/7/2026, 8:46:46 PM11 trades$19,9147 min
2/28/2026, 7:35:37 PM1 trades$19,6490 min
4/22/2026, 1:37:20 AM5 trades$18,8843 min
3/4/2026, 6:25:41 PM2 trades$18,0421 min
5/20/2026, 9:56:40 AM1 trades$18,0350 min
2/14/2026, 12:51:23 AM14 trades$17,81611 min
2/18/2026, 8:09:38 PM1 trades$16,2910 min
1/19/2026, 5:09:26 PM4 trades$15,6011 min
7/14/2026, 8:09:41 PM73 trades$13,31329 min
5/4/2026, 7:43:30 PM1 trades$13,2000 min
4/4/2026, 10:43:09 AM9 trades$12,9380 min
1/22/2026, 2:08:10 AM1 trades$12,9000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-29
05-10
01-01
03-05
04-25
06-10
07-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 33.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.7 / M16.4 / H57.9