@nadou

#2,766,8728

0x97bf053b237464b0fe5abb0efa2ef4b2dfaa1791

~30d· 94 markets · 608 tradesVol: $16,4632026-08-04 16:19:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (22/86)0/20
0.58x (win $616 / loss $1,057)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2240/15
Sortino -5.6690/10
$-0.3014 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 858 (86 markets)8.2/10
7/26 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 499% of peak ($552 / $111)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#80,611$63Vol: $4,339
📢 MENTIONS#131,470$-11Vol: $3,206
🌤️ WEATHER#290,612$-193Vol: $2,087
CRYPTO#1,405,887$-57Vol: $2,080
🎭 CULTURE#744,721$-31Vol: $2,029
SPORTS#1,203,115$-5Vol: $1,635
💻 TECH#243,499$-48Vol: $552
💰 FINANCE#201,791$0Vol: $495
📈 ECONOMICS#100,108$1Vol: $37

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-278
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,463
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
235B / 373S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-278
Vol: $16,463

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
22W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$-278
Win Rate
26%
22W / 64L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$28
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $277 (0.997011055493536% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$124
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$75
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$73
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$60
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$57
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$35
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$29
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?$23
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$19

Top Losers

Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$-168
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-167
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-107
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-91
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-84
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$-62
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-55
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$-38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$-34
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.268
Sortino
-0.295
HHI
665
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.250
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
49.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.4
Active
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 1.66 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active1.9 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.77
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.1%
Mid (20-55c)33.2%
High (>55c)47.7%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 4:04:35 PM21 trades$1,1129 min
6/1/2026, 4:28:45 AM2 trades$4000 min
6/1/2026, 3:56:25 PM6 trades$3910 min
6/4/2026, 5:05:15 AM71 trades$37031 min
5/25/2026, 5:09:45 AM2 trades$1670 min
6/19/2026, 10:53:56 PM6 trades$1641 min
5/30/2026, 12:56:02 AM8 trades$1261 min
6/26/2026, 3:55:49 PM24 trades$1070 min
5/21/2026, 5:17:00 AM17 trades$1047 min
5/19/2026, 4:08:59 AM4 trades$1021 min
5/27/2026, 4:09:58 AM9 trades$993 min
5/28/2026, 4:18:40 PM14 trades$962 min
5/21/2026, 5:49:37 AM9 trades$967 min
6/10/2026, 5:30:36 AM36 trades$8522 min
5/27/2026, 4:16:12 PM4 trades$792 min
5/23/2026, 3:32:43 PM2 trades$710 min
5/19/2026, 3:59:16 AM4 trades$700 min
5/27/2026, 8:54:00 PM3 trades$670 min
5/21/2026, 11:00:46 PM12 trades$616 min
5/15/2026, 8:39:35 AM4 trades$602 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-14
05-19
05-23
05-27
06-01
06-08
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19.1 / M33.2 / H47.7