@0x986878…2256

#2,849,50465

0x9868786a7c2c6afb4c3a2d9fc3abed15875164b0

~49d· 77 markets · 1222 tradesVol: $1,269,3542026-08-04 16:20:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (29/76)4.1/20
1.53x (win $163,544 / loss $106,744)9.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.41915/15
Sortino 3.32910/10
$+0.2825 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 963 (76 markets)7.7/10
19/39 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 49% of peak ($54,780 / $111,262)4.2/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Whale
$201,081 invested
High Roller
$1,447/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#31,005$1,356Vol: $1,146,298
🏛️ POLITICS#1,619,820$-1,339Vol: $97,406
₿ CRYPTO#1,591,656$-518Vol: $25,650

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-500
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,269,354
Total Redeem
$4,392
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
627B / 595S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-500
Vol: $1,269,354

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
29W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$-500
Win Rate
38%
29W / 47L
Profit Factor
1.53x
Avg Win
$5,639
Avg Loss
$-2,737

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $140,269 (280.40282664321126% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Spurs$105,536
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$24,408
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$10,325
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,190
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$2,989
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?$2,638
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$1,784
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?$1,651
Spurs vs. Knicks$1,648
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1,089

Top Losers

Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-42,769
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-23,168
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12,781
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,302
Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,838
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$-3,287
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,086
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-1,730
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-1,700
Will Japan be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$-1,488

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.073
Sortino
0.131
HHI
1693
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.200
Kelly %
14.5%
Half-Kelly
7.3%
Top-1 market
25.3%
Top-5 markets
83.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 114s — normal for humanCV 3.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.58
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.8%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)48%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 4:51:28 AM10 trades$28,7560 min
7/5/2026, 7:03:13 PM7 trades$22,2481 min
7/3/2026, 9:19:34 PM45 trades$21,7691 min
6/12/2026, 12:03:22 PM2 trades$20,9470 min
6/13/2026, 5:00:13 AM2 trades$20,2780 min
7/8/2026, 7:10:35 PM21 trades$15,2963 min
7/10/2026, 5:45:47 PM19 trades$12,8860 min
7/12/2026, 2:33:13 AM74 trades$12,37813 min
6/12/2026, 1:05:09 AM18 trades$9,5950 min
6/12/2026, 11:16:31 AM1 trades$9,1090 min
6/30/2026, 2:11:56 AM6 trades$9,0972 min
7/8/2026, 6:46:13 PM7 trades$8,3330 min
7/10/2026, 5:14:31 PM25 trades$8,19410 min
4/16/2026, 7:21:16 AM38 trades$7,7820 min
7/1/2026, 2:05:02 PM14 trades$7,0885 min
6/29/2026, 4:54:47 PM42 trades$6,7995 min
7/12/2026, 4:05:05 PM1 trades$6,5000 min
7/10/2026, 11:51:52 PM4 trades$6,0800 min
3/16/2026, 1:44:19 PM2 trades$5,9960 min
7/1/2026, 4:45:17 PM8 trades$5,8473 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-12
03-20
03-30
05-04
06-13
07-03
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.58/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.8 / M10.2 / H48