@birchallbets
#3,034,518590x99417622544c1f7e340301c00b03999762030b8d
~27d· 104 markets · 2478 tradesVol: $853,9392026-08-04 20:58:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (48/102)8.5/20
1.28x (win $56,516 / loss $44,208)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.03815/15
Sortino 6.11610/10
$+0.0606 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 694 (102 markets)9/10
11/26 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($10,608 / $21,379)4.1/10
Badges
7Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 24.5 entries/market
Whale
$203,114 invested
High Roller
$1,736/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders
Categories
5⚽ SPORTS#1,873,894$-6,210Vol: $484,136
🎭 CULTURE#2,738$2,398Vol: $196,532
🏛️ POLITICS#1,458,618$-48Vol: $172,465
₿ CRYPTO#1,418,849$-64Vol: $776
🌤️ WEATHER#182,733$-1Vol: $31
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,924
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$853,939
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
2080B / 398S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,924
Vol: $853,939
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
48W / 54L events
Realized PnL
$-3,924
Win Rate
47%
48W / 54L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$1,177
Avg Loss
$-850
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34,209 (8.716943054295646% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$23,200
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$6,237
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$4,772
Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,988
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$2,011
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$1,878
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$1,843
Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,676
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,532
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,389
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-6,192
Will Mexico be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-5,052
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-3,523
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,267
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-2,607
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$-2,592
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-2,109
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?$-1,655
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,390
Will Egypt reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,300
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.105
Sortino
0.321
HHI
1044
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28%
Top-5 markets
52.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
21.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.7m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.5
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 5.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency0.9 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
24.46
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)11.8%
Mid (20-55c)40.4%
High (>55c)47.7%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 1:29:00 PM6 trades$31,13310 min
7/1/2026, 3:51:40 PM80 trades$18,9746 min
4/28/2026, 12:51:56 PM5 trades$16,3102 min
4/28/2026, 10:07:18 PM2 trades$11,6001 min
4/28/2026, 2:32:24 PM3 trades$9,5721 min
7/6/2026, 3:20:08 AM12 trades$8,3195 min
4/28/2026, 1:23:20 PM1 trades$7,1000 min
4/27/2026, 2:51:16 PM57 trades$5,19716 min
7/5/2026, 12:44:22 PM6 trades$4,9475 min
7/4/2026, 9:48:17 PM1 trades$4,5500 min
7/3/2026, 11:05:13 AM4 trades$4,5301 min
4/24/2026, 3:45:56 PM10 trades$4,5153 min
7/1/2026, 4:06:49 PM9 trades$4,0215 min
7/1/2026, 12:42:50 AM10 trades$3,9900 min
7/1/2026, 3:21:13 PM12 trades$3,2109 min
4/27/2026, 11:53:06 AM24 trades$3,16015 min
4/24/2026, 12:44:58 PM134 trades$2,67627 min
7/3/2026, 6:51:04 AM1 trades$2,4880 min
7/1/2026, 6:53:16 AM7 trades$2,40616 min
7/5/2026, 11:18:13 PM1 trades$2,4000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
03-26
04-27
06-30
07-04
07-09
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.8 / M40.4 / H47.7