@MoralOrel
#137,073130x99505cc39faac342b4d3bfa0659a0626670b6d78
~18d· 69 markets · 848 tradesVol: $92,0282026-08-04 19:55:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
30% (21/69)0.2/20
0.79x (win $6,838 / loss $8,640)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4650/15
Sortino -3.4190/10
$-0.0957 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 448 (69 markets)10/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 178% of peak ($4,114 / $2,313)0/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+342
High Roller
$1,045/day
Categories
7🏛️ POLITICS#1,319,726$-13Vol: $49,023
💰 FINANCE#29,892$38Vol: $15,744
🎭 CULTURE#6,381$704Vol: $10,515
📈 ECONOMICS#630,023$-22Vol: $6,400
⚽ SPORTS#1,567,999$-42Vol: $6,188
📢 MENTIONS#171,055$-289Vol: $2,558
💻 TECH#241,099$-35Vol: $1,600
Overview
#1Net PnL
$342
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,028
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
394B / 454S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
29%
20W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$342
Win Rate
29%
20W / 49L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$342
Avg Loss
$-188
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,501 (10.243724033003689% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$2,010
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$861
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$630
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?$618
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$442
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$419
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$390
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$296
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?$215
Another GTA VI trailer released by June 30?$165
Top Losers
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-1,014
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-918
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-898
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$-582
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-571
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?$-555
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-493
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$-472
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$-460
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$-239
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.125
Sortino
-0.190
HHI
552
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.088
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
41.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
47.1
Active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 354s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity47 trades/day — high frequency3.8 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 16:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.84
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.1%
Mid (20-55c)23.9%
High (>55c)51%
Sessions
#126/26/2026, 8:33:52 PM4 trades$1,7890 min
6/21/2026, 11:22:10 AM33 trades$1,3299 min
6/24/2026, 4:59:49 PM5 trades$1,2501 min
7/2/2026, 9:35:29 AM2 trades$1,1590 min
6/18/2026, 7:58:58 PM8 trades$1,1408 min
6/26/2026, 6:52:16 PM8 trades$1,0872 min
6/25/2026, 10:23:46 PM6 trades$1,0841 min
7/2/2026, 3:58:29 PM4 trades$1,0120 min
6/18/2026, 10:45:08 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/18/2026, 7:03:29 PM11 trades$9775 min
6/30/2026, 10:45:16 AM6 trades$8428 min
6/28/2026, 3:35:47 PM5 trades$8420 min
6/18/2026, 4:08:19 PM14 trades$7636 min
6/18/2026, 12:02:19 AM2 trades$6320 min
6/28/2026, 4:25:02 PM22 trades$63111 min
7/2/2026, 4:26:23 PM13 trades$6174 min
6/18/2026, 7:35:58 PM14 trades$59912 min
6/19/2026, 10:39:11 AM16 trades$5885 min
6/23/2026, 12:52:40 PM13 trades$5852 min
6/26/2026, 8:21:08 PM2 trades$5740 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-16
06-18
06-20
06-22
06-24
06-26
06-28
07-01
07-03
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.1 / M23.9 / H51