@speterson

#1,785,7376

0x99683e390ddf6e389b646fdeae474a3f83125a60

~35d· 66 markets · 132 tradesVol: $9,0942026-08-05 00:40:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (22/66)1.7/20
0.20x (win $2 / loss $11)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.6400/15
Sortino -4.6160/10
$-0.0021 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5379 (66 markets)0/10
16/35 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($9 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,312,027$-9Vol: $7,346
🎭 CULTURE#501,392$-1Vol: $1,539
₿ CRYPTO#525,302$0Vol: $124
💰 FINANCE#246,124$0Vol: $61
🏛️ POLITICS#524,028$0Vol: $4
🌤️ WEATHER#146,321$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,094
Total Redeem
$21
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
66
total markets
Trades
84B / 48S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-9
Vol: $9,094

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
22W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-9
Win Rate
33%
22W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.18623024830699778% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Newcastle win on 2025-01-04?$1
Utah vs. Kraken$0
Lions vs. 49ers$0
Clippers vs. Spurs$0
Will Amazon dip to $132 in April?$0
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $400 in March?$0
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $240 in July?$0
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $1800 on Apr 18?$0
Will Meta (META) close above $720 end of November?$0

Top Losers

Grizzlies vs. Thunder$-5
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-3
Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Timberwolves vs. Rockets$-0
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$-0
Will Tottenham win on 2024-12-29?$-0
Knicks vs. Magic$-0
Kraken vs. Canucks$-0
Mavericks vs. Suns$-0
Texas Tech vs. Arkansas$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.239
Sortino
-0.127
HHI
5231
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
13.5%
Half-Kelly
6.7%
Top-1 market
70.1%
Top-5 markets
90.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1178s — normal for humanCV 3.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.05
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)26.2%
High (>55c)73.8%

Sessions

#12
4/1/2025, 3:32:11 PM1 trades$7650 min
4/1/2025, 6:55:22 AM1 trades$7650 min
4/1/2025, 4:51:39 PM1 trades$7640 min
4/1/2025, 9:09:16 AM1 trades$7640 min
4/1/2025, 10:03:13 AM1 trades$7640 min
4/1/2025, 11:39:43 AM1 trades$7630 min
4/1/2025, 10:40:37 AM1 trades$7630 min
4/1/2025, 12:59:37 PM1 trades$7620 min
4/1/2025, 1:32:01 PM1 trades$7550 min
4/1/2025, 3:03:27 PM1 trades$7550 min
12/27/2024, 8:12:44 PM2 trades$470 min
12/26/2024, 4:02:46 PM2 trades$393 min
12/26/2024, 3:06:20 PM6 trades$395 min
5/26/2026, 5:26:39 AM2 trades$380 min
6/23/2026, 7:40:53 AM2 trades$370 min
12/29/2024, 6:07:42 PM2 trades$371 min
12/26/2024, 11:25:54 PM2 trades$333 min
12/29/2024, 5:38:40 PM2 trades$313 min
12/27/2024, 2:53:04 PM2 trades$261 min
12/29/2024, 2:00:56 PM2 trades$243 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
01-03
01-12
02-27
04-17
08-28
03-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M26.2 / H73.8