buckweatshot

@buckweatshot

#117,17327

0x9985ae18dd91fc60a35fa0bb05bdbc5683df6afa

~215d· 319 markets · 1471 tradesVol: $110,9622026-08-04 23:58:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (145/292)9.8/20
0.94x (win $8,313 / loss $8,802)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.2450/15
Sortino -0.2740/10
$-0.0170 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 182 (292 markets)10/10
84/161 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 127% of peak ($3,085 / $2,433)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+489
Contrarian
54% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,563,236$-296Vol: $39,626
🏛️ POLITICS#17,112$1,082Vol: $36,259
SPORTS#1,695,361$-116Vol: $19,587
💰 FINANCE#38,336$22Vol: $4,815
🎭 CULTURE#775,773$-83Vol: $3,836
💻 TECH#242,940$-43Vol: $2,535
📢 MENTIONS#119,782$-6Vol: $630
📈 ECONOMICS#617,818$-16Vol: $480
🌤️ WEATHER#281,143$-72Vol: $292

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$489
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$110,962
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
319
total markets
Trades
835B / 636S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~215d

Periods

#2
Today
$-19
Vol: $140
Week
$-12
Vol: $388
Month
$11
Vol: $487
All Time
$489
Vol: $110,962

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
145W / 147L events
Realized PnL
$489
Win Rate
50%
145W / 147L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$-62

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,785 (3.649447022507512% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$630
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$604
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$552
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$311
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1?$288
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$272
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5$270
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$258
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$252
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$230

Top Losers

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-2,400
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-522
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?$-341
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-313
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-310
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-303
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-271
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-225
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-210
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$-198

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.013
Sortino
-0.010
HHI
149
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.017
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
19.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1184s — normal for humanCV 1.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.64
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17%
Mid (20-55c)37.1%
High (>55c)45.9%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 2:42:57 PM4 trades$2,0000 min
7/12/2026, 2:15:35 AM2 trades$1,1710 min
6/26/2026, 12:51:16 AM6 trades$1,1697 min
4/8/2026, 1:20:35 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/15/2026, 9:33:43 PM2 trades$9090 min
7/10/2026, 8:52:47 PM4 trades$9090 min
4/16/2026, 12:55:28 AM5 trades$8003 min
1/16/2025, 1:21:15 PM2 trades$7763 min
6/13/2026, 2:11:12 AM2 trades$7050 min
1/16/2025, 5:41:39 AM2 trades$7002 min
6/24/2026, 8:43:49 PM5 trades$6960 min
6/27/2026, 11:00:58 PM4 trades$6131 min
1/31/2025, 4:27:00 PM1 trades$6030 min
7/8/2026, 5:37:25 PM4 trades$5820 min
6/26/2026, 12:21:10 PM9 trades$5741 min
1/16/2025, 12:52:01 PM1 trades$5250 min
1/16/2025, 1:00:15 PM1 trades$5250 min
1/17/2025, 3:16:55 PM1 trades$4530 min
6/1/2026, 5:08:50 PM2 trades$4500 min
4/1/2026, 7:11:03 PM2 trades$4000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
07-16
01-30
02-27
04-22
06-08
07-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17 / M37.1 / H45.9