@theseis
#226,317250x998837b9adce8d31aa9d5a80203cef693780c67a
~31d· 29 markets · 71 tradesVol: $16,5322026-08-04 23:41:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (12/28)6.4/20
1.05x (win $1,109 / loss $1,057)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.2464.6/15
Sortino 0.3383.4/10
$+0.0083 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 1766 (28 markets)3.7/10
10/22 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 93% of peak ($737 / $789)0/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+112
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20
🏗️Market Maker
70% maker orders
Categories
6₿ CRYPTO#49,082$374Vol: $10,546
🎭 CULTURE#8,354$460Vol: $2,902
⚽ SPORTS#1,813,476$-720Vol: $2,499
📈 ECONOMICS#15,990$63Vol: $260
💻 TECH#246,616$-69Vol: $220
💰 FINANCE#91,282$3Vol: $106
Overview
#1Net PnL
$112
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,532
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
60B / 11S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
12W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$112
Win Rate
43%
12W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-66
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $902 (8.08600125549278% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?$513
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$233
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$156
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$64
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$38
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-24?$32
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$30
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$20
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?$12
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$7
Top Losers
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$-600
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?$-108
Nascimento vs. Estevam$-100
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?$-69
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$-64
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$-30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$-29
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$-20
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$-13
Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.013
Sortino
0.014
HHI
648
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.9%
Top-5 markets
47.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4h
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 994s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal70% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.32
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)46.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.7%
High (>55c)41.7%
Sessions
#123/23/2026, 5:37:03 AM1 trades$1,2860 min
3/7/2026, 4:09:51 PM5 trades$8760 min
6/22/2026, 11:21:47 AM1 trades$8200 min
3/4/2026, 5:09:51 AM1 trades$7860 min
2/3/2026, 5:50:38 AM1 trades$7370 min
6/25/2026, 12:40:16 PM2 trades$4000 min
1/24/2026, 5:09:32 AM1 trades$3680 min
1/16/2026, 6:01:04 AM1 trades$3230 min
1/12/2026, 3:33:48 AM1 trades$3220 min
4/12/2026, 12:39:19 AM1 trades$3050 min
12/31/2025, 11:24:15 AM1 trades$2920 min
3/4/2026, 5:34:39 AM1 trades$2280 min
12/18/2025, 4:23:38 AM1 trades$2140 min
1/16/2026, 2:56:34 PM1 trades$2130 min
4/10/2026, 9:08:53 AM1 trades$2110 min
12/10/2025, 2:07:40 PM1 trades$2020 min
6/23/2026, 7:51:56 AM2 trades$2000 min
3/7/2026, 4:54:29 PM1 trades$1770 min
11/12/2025, 5:52:12 AM3 trades$1715 min
4/10/2026, 6:14:33 PM1 trades$1680 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
11-26
12-10
12-24
01-16
01-24
04-25
06-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 94 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
15.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.32/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.7 / M11.7 / H41.7