BondSolo

@BondSolo

#39,29834

0x9995d54ecf4eab96e1bdfcf519b12c447e28d0d3

~146d· 274 markets · 1275 tradesVol: $279,823 @meustermint2026-08-04 19:57:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (150/245)15.6/20
0.98x (win $18,344 / loss $18,679)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1020/15
Sortino -0.1370/10
$-0.0038 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 165 (245 markets)10/10
55/104 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 152% of peak ($5,477 / $3,606)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+2,873
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
Whale
$88,556 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#47,689$177Vol: $183,903
📈 ECONOMICS#2,303$1,564Vol: $39,984
💰 FINANCE#6,716$514Vol: $20,964
🎭 CULTURE#12,413$242Vol: $13,582
⚽ SPORTS#61,714$420Vol: $10,895
₿ CRYPTO#1,566,143$-310Vol: $6,210
💻 TECH#2,889$334Vol: $3,075
📢 MENTIONS#154,441$-43Vol: $794

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,873
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$279,823
Total Redeem
$7,878
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
274
total markets
Trades
763B / 512S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~146d

Periods

#2
Today
$-51
Vol: $18
Week
$-38
Vol: $127
Month
$-217
Vol: $127
All Time
$2,873
Vol: $279,823

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
150W / 95L events
Realized PnL
$2,873
Win Rate
61%
150W / 95L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$122
Avg Loss
$-210

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,673 (1.9742597413445073% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,371
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$1,707
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$1,595
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$1,140
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1,009
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$860
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$850
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$834
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$640
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$580

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-3,043
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,633
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-1,120
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-1,003
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$-963
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-827
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-632
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-592
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-562
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?$-540

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.005
Sortino
-0.006
HHI
188
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
19.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 368s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.16
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.8%
Mid (20-55c)27.3%
High (>55c)51%

Sessions

#12
4/19/2026, 9:01:22 PM12 trades$4,9021 min
11/7/2025, 10:32:19 PM2 trades$2,3542 min
4/8/2026, 3:35:11 AM5 trades$2,3371 min
6/25/2026, 1:19:25 PM4 trades$2,3321 min
4/11/2026, 2:30:37 AM7 trades$2,3027 min
6/4/2026, 7:24:19 PM12 trades$2,1033 min
5/6/2026, 2:46:14 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
11/13/2025, 2:33:08 AM4 trades$1,9361 min
12/22/2025, 10:53:35 PM6 trades$1,8344 min
7/1/2026, 4:50:43 PM12 trades$1,64710 min
7/29/2026, 5:49:27 PM8 trades$1,3484 min
3/7/2026, 4:24:23 PM1 trades$1,3000 min
4/17/2026, 5:17:02 PM11 trades$1,2711 min
7/2/2026, 1:44:40 PM4 trades$1,2460 min
11/1/2025, 3:21:31 AM7 trades$1,1765 min
4/21/2026, 6:14:08 PM2 trades$1,1500 min
11/5/2025, 1:26:59 AM2 trades$1,1230 min
12/24/2025, 5:27:25 AM2 trades$1,0731 min
12/23/2025, 7:42:01 PM1 trades$1,0720 min
3/5/2026, 1:59:11 AM1 trades$1,0640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-01
11-26
01-17
02-20
04-08
06-19
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.8 / M27.3 / H51