erlichbachmn

@erlichbachmn

#3,059,52616

0x999f61d400da1804af3c250b3236a60101c3addb

~30d· 97 markets · 769 tradesVol: $160,8122026-08-04 16:21:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (27/62)6.8/20
0.22x (win $6,470 / loss $29,362)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.9360/15
Sortino -6.5430/10
$-0.4100 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 638 (62 markets)9.3/10
6/23 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($22,892 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Whale
$55,829 invested
High Roller
$1,015/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,676$-5,442Vol: $91,033
SPORTS#1,857,021$-2,222Vol: $53,446
CRYPTO#1,628,450$-1,269Vol: $6,175
💰 FINANCE#653,617$-645Vol: $4,923
📈 ECONOMICS#671,516$-272Vol: $2,709
🎭 CULTURE#809,629$-850Vol: $2,526

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,700
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$160,812
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
97
total markets
Trades
444B / 325S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$25
Vol: $0
Week
$-9
Vol: $0
Month
$91
Vol: $0
All Time
$-10,700
Vol: $160,812

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
27W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-10,689
Win Rate
44%
27W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$240
Avg Loss
$-839

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,752 (0.2575065698565905% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,074
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$907
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$771
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on June 30, 2026?$749
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$556
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$516
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$414
France vs. England: England 2nd Half O/U 0.5$326
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$296
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$156

Top Losers

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-9,800
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-3,507
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-2,469
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-2,232
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-2,120
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?$-1,285
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?$-1,020
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-879
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-843
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-711

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.355
Sortino
-0.317
HHI
534
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.442
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
45.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.8 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.05
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.2%
Mid (20-55c)34%
High (>55c)51.8%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 10:54:26 AM34 trades$5,7168 min
6/18/2026, 2:13:46 PM17 trades$4,8331 min
6/17/2026, 4:05:58 AM17 trades$4,2515 min
6/15/2026, 4:43:34 PM20 trades$4,1002 min
6/19/2026, 11:47:02 PM4 trades$4,0810 min
6/1/2026, 1:58:02 PM17 trades$3,63420 min
6/17/2026, 11:26:49 PM10 trades$2,9381 min
6/17/2026, 4:33:17 AM28 trades$2,8525 min
6/28/2026, 4:43:35 AM5 trades$2,7410 min
7/15/2026, 6:18:34 AM24 trades$2,1133 min
6/19/2026, 11:35:25 PM10 trades$1,9220 min
5/31/2026, 9:01:13 AM1 trades$1,7960 min
5/30/2026, 5:54:19 AM6 trades$1,7582 min
5/26/2026, 6:47:23 AM12 trades$1,5944 min
6/5/2026, 9:14:51 AM3 trades$1,4932 min
5/29/2026, 2:51:28 PM3 trades$1,4581 min
6/6/2026, 3:55:06 PM19 trades$1,3915 min
7/15/2026, 7:38:20 AM26 trades$1,3367 min
6/10/2026, 12:23:45 AM12 trades$1,2760 min
5/31/2026, 9:35:07 PM12 trades$1,2133 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
05-30
06-05
06-08
06-14
06-18
06-21
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.2 / M34 / H51.8