@0x99D13b…4174

#2,879,3900

0x99d13b89a392e987fe43f0c4b863565124a7d5c1

~121d· 162 markets · 1624 tradesVol: $211,3262026-08-05 15:52:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (32/153)0/20
0.24x (win $802 / loss $3,386)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9040/15
Sortino -3.9480/10
$-0.5577 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2467 (153 markets)0.2/10
11/55 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 6406% of peak ($2,625 / $41)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
95% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
88% maker orders

Categories

8
📈 ECONOMICS#8,199$202Vol: $68,571
💰 FINANCE#653,421$-850Vol: $60,755
🏛️ POLITICS#56,972$125Vol: $55,294
₿ CRYPTO#130,556$48Vol: $19,043
🎭 CULTURE#783,811$-102Vol: $2,559
💻 TECH#238,524$-25Vol: $2,504
⚽ SPORTS#1,442,881$-18Vol: $2,000
📢 MENTIONS#108,885$-4Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-630
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$211,326
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
162
total markets
Trades
1446B / 178S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$-93
Vol: $0
Month
$-199
Vol: $0
All Time
$-630
Vol: $211,326

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
32W / 121L events
Realized PnL
$-549
Win Rate
21%
32W / 121L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $653 (1.1884429884429883% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$318
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$288
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 3?$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3AM ET$45
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?$17
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2AM ET$12

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-1,621
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-290
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-222
Will TikTok be banned by March 31?$-91
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-89
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-74
Will Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$-64
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-50
Will Gold close between $4900 and $5000 at the end of 2025?$-48
Will Gold close between $4700 and $4800 at the end of 2025?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.203
Sortino
-0.191
HHI
1259
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.694
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.2%
Top-5 markets
49.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 466s — normal for humanCV 6.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal88% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.29
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)95.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.4%
High (>55c)2.4%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 6:28:23 AM12 trades$1,8461 min
5/6/2026, 9:03:08 AM21 trades$1,0720 min
6/6/2026, 5:57:30 AM3 trades$9800 min
4/10/2026, 11:38:19 AM3 trades$6800 min
6/24/2026, 10:00:07 AM1 trades$6010 min
6/25/2026, 4:52:38 PM2 trades$4940 min
6/29/2026, 3:07:59 PM4 trades$3722 min
7/1/2026, 2:39:17 PM2 trades$3380 min
7/7/2026, 8:55:02 AM4 trades$2423 min
6/27/2026, 1:30:13 PM1 trades$1800 min
3/25/2026, 5:43:21 PM9 trades$1520 min
6/27/2026, 6:05:02 AM10 trades$1430 min
7/1/2026, 1:14:28 PM2 trades$1000 min
4/26/2026, 3:12:58 AM2 trades$850 min
3/30/2026, 2:50:23 PM1 trades$750 min
6/11/2026, 12:44:49 PM1 trades$750 min
6/25/2026, 10:58:11 PM1 trades$740 min
7/20/2026, 6:52:15 AM2 trades$700 min
7/18/2026, 10:30:58 AM3 trades$610 min
4/10/2026, 5:21:03 PM2 trades$590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
11-13
11-29
12-23
02-14
04-02
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 253 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.29/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L95.2 / M2.4 / H2.4