@stakezilla
#98,012710x9a192b8e856284e341a6fc7b398c7201092874e8
~19d· 25 markets · 174 tradesVol: $22,0222026-08-05 15:50:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
35% (7/20)2.5/20
7.93x (win $3,797 / loss $479)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.05315/15
Sortino 88.11510/10
$+0.3708 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2045 (20 markets)2.3/10
7/13 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($316 / $3,318)10/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+741
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Categories
6💻 TECH#5,463$118Vol: $6,115
🏛️ POLITICS#28,300$464Vol: $5,907
📢 MENTIONS#115,380$-5Vol: $5,000
💰 FINANCE#16,728$117Vol: $3,758
🎭 CULTURE#44,917$24Vol: $1,220
⚽ SPORTS#1,346,043$-10Vol: $22
Overview
#1Net PnL
$708
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,022
Total Redeem
$143
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
42B / 132S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d
Periods
#2Today
$-22
Vol: $0
Week
$-23
Vol: $3,297
Month
$-53
Vol: $3,297
All Time
$708
Vol: $22,022
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
35%
7W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$741
Win Rate
35%
7W / 13L
Profit Factor
7.93x
Avg Win
$542
Avg Loss
$-44
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,412 (4.601394545895935% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$2,573
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$491
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$347
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$162
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$109
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$57
Iran strike on US military by February 28?$57
Top Losers
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-106
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$-100
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-94
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$-52
Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government?$-50
Will the US capture Khamenei before 2027?$-20
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$-20
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$-19
Will AfD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$-10
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.355
Sortino
6.118
HHI
1109
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.567
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.6%
Top-5 markets
59.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)47.6%
Mid (20-55c)9.5%
High (>55c)42.9%
Sessions
#128/2/2026, 6:14:44 AM18 trades$4,1325 min
6/25/2026, 8:19:37 PM6 trades$3,1961 min
6/9/2026, 7:56:45 PM75 trades$2,2491 min
7/17/2026, 6:30:24 PM8 trades$1,5740 min
4/8/2026, 5:06:47 AM2 trades$1,3270 min
5/27/2026, 10:48:20 AM8 trades$1,0970 min
4/18/2026, 11:50:06 AM2 trades$6100 min
6/25/2026, 8:37:58 PM13 trades$49513 min
4/7/2026, 12:57:39 PM5 trades$4871 min
5/1/2026, 6:42:02 AM5 trades$3950 min
4/24/2026, 10:57:54 AM3 trades$3810 min
4/23/2026, 9:21:38 PM7 trades$2080 min
8/2/2026, 6:26:14 AM2 trades$1720 min
5/13/2026, 7:30:56 PM8 trades$1320 min
4/27/2026, 11:16:54 AM2 trades$1260 min
2/1/2025, 6:49:41 AM2 trades$1005 min
1/11/2026, 7:01:06 AM1 trades$1000 min
1/31/2025, 9:49:01 PM1 trades$520 min
1/20/2026, 9:42:50 PM3 trades$458 min
2/11/2025, 7:48:19 PM1 trades$440 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
02-11
01-20
04-07
04-27
05-27
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
75.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.7/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.6 / M9.5 / H42.9