JapeththeGoat

@JapeththeGoat

#27,02859

0x9a31cf2531dc71699cb0ab6083151d2ed3ef5af1

~52d· 277 markets · 6739 tradesVol: $295,9082026-08-04 23:35:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

59
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

39% (108/277)4.5/20
1.16x (win $19,514 / loss $16,757)4.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.34215/15
Sortino 2.98410/10
$+0.0663 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 75 (277 markets)10/10
30/51 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($2,225 / $4,700)4.5/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+4,634
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🌤️ WEATHER#434$4,729Vol: $291,063
SPORTS#1,578,928$-46Vol: $2,838
🏛️ POLITICS#1,455,522$-45Vol: $1,120
🎭 CULTURE#749,308$-35Vol: $497
📈 ECONOMICS#22,842$32Vol: $390

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,634
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$295,908
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
277
total markets
Trades
2614B / 4125S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $1,590
Week
$-116
Vol: $3,977
Month
$-99
Vol: $6,793
All Time
$4,634
Vol: $295,908

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
39%
108W / 169L events
Realized PnL
$4,634
Win Rate
39%
108W / 169L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$181
Avg Loss
$-100

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,087 (0.45037782505685714% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14?$820
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on June 3?$638
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 28?$629
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 9?$604
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13?$513
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 4?$461
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?$440
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 21?$419
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?$413
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?$408

Top Losers

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,032
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 10?$-584
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?$-487
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?$-350
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 11?$-324
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?$-319
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 88-89°F on June 15?$-279
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13?$-270
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 4?$-252
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 17?$-251

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.121
Sortino
0.112
HHI
96
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
12.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
93.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.7m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
21.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock94 trades/day — mass trading3.8 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.44
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.8%
Mid (20-55c)33.2%
High (>55c)52%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 4:31:04 AM160 trades$1,22950 min
6/19/2026, 1:14:22 PM22 trades$9295 min
6/17/2026, 1:25:14 AM2 trades$8120 min
6/11/2026, 4:52:36 AM5 trades$7585 min
6/20/2026, 10:22:23 PM48 trades$7479 min
6/11/2026, 7:45:19 PM59 trades$72120 min
6/18/2026, 7:52:38 PM8 trades$6990 min
7/7/2026, 4:45:35 PM5 trades$6851 min
6/21/2026, 2:56:08 AM56 trades$64625 min
6/19/2026, 4:34:07 AM55 trades$62920 min
6/20/2026, 1:32:55 AM50 trades$57920 min
6/3/2026, 9:48:55 PM36 trades$56211 min
6/15/2026, 8:17:46 PM8 trades$5473 min
6/19/2026, 9:11:58 PM4 trades$5121 min
7/15/2026, 9:19:37 PM4 trades$5000 min
7/4/2026, 1:08:28 AM3 trades$4680 min
6/4/2026, 5:34:57 PM29 trades$45013 min
6/13/2026, 6:40:45 PM33 trades$4089 min
6/8/2026, 8:15:30 PM7 trades$3750 min
6/25/2026, 12:21:46 AM6 trades$3540 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
06-07
06-15
06-23
07-06
07-15
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.8 / M33.2 / H52