@gugl

#2,718,57926

0x9a555f9866178b216fd2eadbf4fe094b85ded76a

~11d· 12 markets · 49 tradesVol: $5,1362026-08-04 20:09:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (6/12)10/20
0.94x (win $173 / loss $183)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6520/15
Sortino -0.8510/10
$-0.0207 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1073 (12 markets)7.1/10
6/10 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 230% of peak ($79 / $34)0/10

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#284,804$-99Vol: $3,562
🎭 CULTURE#766,427$-58Vol: $753
💰 FINANCE#589,918$-17Vol: $328
🏛️ POLITICS#1,383,231$-21Vol: $256
₿ CRYPTO#1,172,313$-11Vol: $136
💻 TECH#209,710$-3Vol: $101

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-209
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,136
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
27B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $51
Week
$-6
Vol: $112
Month
$-6
Vol: $112
All Time
$-209
Vol: $5,136

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
6W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-209
Win Rate
50%
6W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $150 (0.7171668896960428% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19.1B?$96
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?$41
Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$14
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 7?$9
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 3?$8
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 23?$5

Top Losers

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?$-51
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-49
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$-48
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 29?$-25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 28?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 30?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.032
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
1078
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
62.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
51%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
22
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1673s — normal for humanCV 0.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)51% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.08
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)22.2%
High (>55c)74.1%

Sessions

#12
7/5/2026, 6:28:14 AM5 trades$1022 min
6/28/2026, 5:48:07 AM4 trades$733 min
6/26/2026, 4:09:37 AM5 trades$630 min
7/4/2026, 5:27:47 AM2 trades$540 min
7/9/2026, 3:37:17 PM2 trades$473 min
7/9/2026, 6:35:07 PM3 trades$460 min
8/2/2026, 1:05:06 AM4 trades$430 min
7/3/2026, 10:52:14 PM1 trades$410 min
7/9/2026, 7:20:28 PM1 trades$350 min
7/9/2026, 8:40:58 PM1 trades$290 min
7/27/2026, 10:31:22 PM1 trades$270 min
7/25/2026, 9:27:43 AM1 trades$250 min
7/25/2026, 5:05:04 PM3 trades$220 min
8/2/2026, 12:54:18 AM1 trades$220 min
7/28/2026, 12:34:51 AM2 trades$201 min
6/28/2026, 9:35:46 AM5 trades$143 min
7/27/2026, 12:51:31 AM2 trades$100 min
7/25/2026, 10:02:10 AM1 trades$90 min
7/27/2026, 12:41:09 AM1 trades$50 min
7/22/2026, 4:30:30 AM2 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-26
06-28
07-04
07-05
07-09
07-22
07-25
07-27
07-28
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
66.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.7 / M22.2 / H74.1