@Hestor

#2,384,7279

0x9afef672debc90ab06f22aaa4574efcfff33a2cb

~40d· 39 markets · 134 tradesVol: $1,9822026-08-04 21:39:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (9/31)0/20
0.42x (win $34 / loss $82)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.2960/15
Sortino -7.6070/10
$-0.2000 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 769 (31 markets)8.7/10
5/18 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 2371% of peak ($50 / $2)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,446,274$-41Vol: $1,686
📈 ECONOMICS#541,474$-3Vol: $73
💰 FINANCE#542,686$-5Vol: $70
📢 MENTIONS#43,390$1Vol: $26

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-55
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,982
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
83B / 51S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-55
Vol: $1,982

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
9W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-55
Win Rate
29%
9W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28 (0.5180196578085184% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$12
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$11
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?$6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$2
Iran leadership change by March 31?$1
Iran leadership change by June 30?$1
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?$1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?$1
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$1

Top Losers

Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 10, 2026?$-23
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$-8
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$-8
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by April 30?$-6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?$-5
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$-5
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-4
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$-3
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-3
Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.371
Sortino
-0.436
HHI
949
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.183
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.4%
Top-5 markets
57.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6578s — normal for humanCV 1.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.48
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.2%
Mid (20-55c)13.3%
High (>55c)32.5%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 9:10:20 PM2 trades$1000 min
4/30/2026, 6:49:16 AM8 trades$810 min
6/30/2026, 3:56:14 PM7 trades$550 min
4/5/2026, 7:10:17 AM12 trades$529 min
4/11/2026, 9:57:47 AM8 trades$485 min
5/31/2026, 6:20:03 PM4 trades$460 min
7/4/2026, 2:45:52 PM2 trades$440 min
3/29/2026, 2:43:00 AM6 trades$285 min
4/11/2026, 5:05:17 AM6 trades$271 min
4/15/2026, 7:39:34 AM4 trades$271 min
3/23/2026, 9:41:49 AM3 trades$263 min
6/12/2026, 9:20:42 PM3 trades$200 min
4/2/2026, 9:24:03 PM4 trades$105 min
4/2/2026, 10:10:17 AM6 trades$101 min
4/3/2026, 1:05:31 PM2 trades$80 min
4/18/2026, 12:40:48 AM2 trades$60 min
7/27/2026, 7:41:19 AM4 trades$60 min
4/9/2026, 10:21:31 PM2 trades$60 min
6/16/2026, 6:21:36 AM1 trades$50 min
4/14/2026, 10:46:12 PM2 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
04-05
04-15
04-29
06-11
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 113 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.48/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.2 / M13.3 / H32.5