@samsmash

#2,856,68215

0x9b95ffa9cbdd5a53fdcff8193cdfe28da995a426

~61d· 116 markets · 958 tradesVol: $44,4092026-08-04 16:19:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (29/80)3.1/20
0.79x (win $2,746 / loss $3,472)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7260/15
Sortino -3.3410/10
$-0.0514 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 278 (80 markets)10/10
15/39 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 275% of peak ($1,141 / $415)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#57,177$10Vol: $19,906
🏛️ POLITICS#1,564,049$-207Vol: $16,200
₿ CRYPTO#1,515,539$-157Vol: $3,988
📈 ECONOMICS#645,473$-45Vol: $2,633
🎭 CULTURE#778,684$-94Vol: $762
💻 TECH#7,139$71Vol: $431
📢 MENTIONS#163,517$-99Vol: $333
🌤️ WEATHER#237,067$-7Vol: $156

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-528
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$44,409
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
406B / 552S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

Periods

#2
Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-528
Vol: $44,409

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
29W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-527
Win Rate
36%
29W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$95
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,255 (2.380579468315067% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$684
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?$310
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$261
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$235
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$125
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?$106
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$103
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?$97
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$78
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$76

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-395
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-336
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?$-285
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?$-275
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-205
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-188
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$-160
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$-150
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$-144
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$-136

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.141
Sortino
-0.181
HHI
162
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.072
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
21.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 268s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.3
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)22.4%
High (>55c)44.3%

Sessions

#12
5/6/2026, 12:45:52 PM24 trades$1,2104 min
4/20/2026, 4:26:20 PM24 trades$1,1809 min
5/2/2026, 2:19:16 AM24 trades$1,0126 min
5/10/2026, 7:28:22 AM33 trades$9476 min
3/21/2026, 5:12:13 PM4 trades$8506 min
4/29/2026, 2:15:26 PM28 trades$8397 min
5/8/2026, 10:18:32 AM24 trades$80820 min
4/5/2026, 7:40:47 AM18 trades$7465 min
4/24/2026, 11:41:18 AM11 trades$7404 min
5/13/2026, 2:23:15 PM8 trades$7281 min
4/15/2026, 5:20:16 PM4 trades$7260 min
6/13/2026, 1:50:57 AM7 trades$6621 min
4/23/2026, 10:44:44 AM22 trades$61814 min
5/30/2026, 3:26:04 AM9 trades$5540 min
5/10/2026, 3:27:39 PM10 trades$5520 min
4/5/2026, 7:55:31 AM5 trades$5200 min
4/25/2026, 3:07:46 AM4 trades$4891 min
7/28/2026, 4:40:26 PM26 trades$4682 min
6/22/2026, 8:37:40 AM19 trades$4682 min
4/16/2026, 5:40:46 PM7 trades$4541 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-24
05-01
05-08
05-16
06-08
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 88 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.3 / M22.4 / H44.3